Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 33

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirador (Algeciras)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Algeciras		Tarazona

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.8	3.3
	2.2	2.88	3.45
	2.34	2.86	3.53
	2.37	2.72	3.58	Watch
	2.25	2.5	3.4
	2.28	2.67	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.18)	2.74 ↓ (2.92)	3.46 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algeciras
40.3%

Draw
33.3%

Tarazona
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

31.8%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

31.1%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Tarazona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Algeciras - Tarazona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moreno I. (G) 22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 16. Gomez A. 15. Ruiz V. 3. Marquez J. 8. Turrillo I. (C) 24. Castro O. 17. Aviles J. 20. Alamo J. 7. Rastrojo J. 21. Garcia J.	1. Josele (G) 16. Delmas J. 5. Traore B. 2. Lopez A. 14. Borge A. 3. Martinez Chechu 6. Carrasco O. (C) 23. Rodriguez D. 8. Ramon T. 17. Jimenez A. 19. Armero S.
Substitutes
2. Arauz C. 13. Casado S. (G) 4. Coch A. 10. Garrido D. 9. Gonzaga M. 6. Mayorga A. 14. Nader A. 19. Obeng I. 23. Riley J.	15. Alonso I. 13. Amigo A. (G) 9. Cubillas D. 20. Martinez J. 21. Nieto C. 7. Soto D. 4. Trilles M. 22. Vaquero

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Traore B. ↓, Alonso I. ↑,
53', Jimenez A. 🟨,
61', Rastrojo J. 🟨,
65', Turrillo I. ↓, Obeng I. ↑,
65', Aviles J. ↓, Gonzaga M. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Marquez J. ⚽,
80', Delmas J. ↓, Nieto C. ↑,
80', Jimenez A. ↓, Soto D. ↑,
83', Garcia J. ↓, Mayorga A. ↑,
90+2', Rastrojo J. ↓, Riley J. ↑,
90+5', Gonzaga M. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 14).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tarazona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Algeciras is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Algeciras won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Algeciras	6	2	1	3	8:11	-3	7

Last Results with these Odds

Algeciras - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.64%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.04.26	Villarreal B - Algeciras	4:0 ✺
05.04.26	Algeciras - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	CE Europa - Algeciras	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Algeciras - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Alcorcón - Algeciras	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LTWWT
- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.04.26	Tarazona - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Antequera - Tarazona	2:3 ✺
29.03.26	Tarazona - Eldense	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Real Murcia - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Tarazona - Atlético Madrid B	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.01.26	Tarazona - Algeciras	2:2

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