The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Sanluqueño 20.5%
Draw 29.2%
Atlético Madrid B 50.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.9%
29.1%
48.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.5%
28.6%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Sanluqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Atlético Sanluqueño - Atlético Madrid B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Dominguez R. (G) 12. Ukwuije N. 23. Gomez A. 14. Pavon A. 28. Bargallo A. 17. Rodri 26. Andujar J. 21. Satoca D. 9. Alvarez I. 11. Simon L. 15. Denia M.
13. Esquivel S. (G) 4. Bonar J. 12. Spina G. 5. Martinez D. 3. Diaz J. 6. Serrano J. 18. Bellotti M. . Llorente R. 17. Monserrate J. 23. Ortiz A. 30. Llorente M.
Substitutes
24. Ajouaou V. 4. Almagro S. 30. Barea P. 3. Cabrera J. 18. Diallo B. 19. Juarez A. 7. Kikin 1. Kudakovskiy P. (G) 20. Lobede U. 6. Mulenga T. 5. Niza S. 16. Viedma A.
20. Barboza M. 10. Belaid R. 8. Castillo J. 19. Corral A. 1. de Luis M. (G) 28. Hueso R. 7. Luque I. 33. Morales L. (G) 14. Morcillo J. 24. Najera R. 22. Perovic M. 21. Sits D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Rodri ⚽,
34', Bonar J. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 1, Llorente M. ⚽,
45+6', Satoca D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Denia M. ↓, Lobede U. ↑,
46', Simon L. ↓, Ajouaou V. ↑,
52', Martinez D. 🟨,
60', Bargallo A. ↓, Cabrera J. ↑,
60', Bellotti M. ↓, Hueso R. ↑,
60', Bonar J. ↓, Belaid R. ↑,
76', Gomez A. ↓, Viedma A. ↑,
78', Diaz J. ↓, Luque I. ↑,
78', Monserrate J. ↓, Perovic M. ↑,
82', Rodri ↓, Juarez A. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Ortiz A. ⚽,
90', Llorente R. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
90+3', Lobede U. 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,
90+8', Lobede U. 🟨,
90+9', 🟥,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, Atlético Madrid B is seen as the favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sanluqueño won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.4:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Sanluqueño won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).