Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 14

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Palmar (Sanlúcar de Barrameda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Atlético Sanluqueño		Tarazona

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.8	3.5
	2.28	2.82	3.35
	2.22	2.85	3.8
	2.41	2.76	3.39	Watch
	2.21	2.76	3.52
	2.16	2.75	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.41)	2.79 ↑ (2.76)	3.51 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Sanluqueño
41.1%

Draw
32.8%

Tarazona
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

33.8%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

33.4%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Sanluqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+1%)

Atlético Sanluqueño - Tarazona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dominguez R. (G) 2. Sola Villalba R. 18. Diallo B. 5. Trapero 3. Cabrera J. 21. Satoca D. 16. Tounkara N. 8. Gallastegui J. 9. Zequi (C) 17. Rodri 10. Feria J.	1. Josele (G) 2. Lopez A. 5. Traore B. 4. Trilles M. (C) 14. Borge A. 3. Martinez Chechu 15. Alonso I. 6. Carrasco O. 23. Rodriguez D. 9. Cubillas D. 7. Soto D.
Substitutes
20. Arruabarrena J. 22. Carneil H. 23. Gomez A. 27. Gonzalez I. 19. Juarez A. 7. Kikin 1. Kudakovskiy P. (G) 11. Lorenzo O. 28. Moreno F. 12. Rodriguez S. 25. Valencia F. (G)	13. Amigo (G) 19. Armero S. 27. Fita A. 11. Gomez J. 20. Martinez J. 8. Ramon A. 22. Vaquero

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Satoca D. 🟨,
29', Traore B. 🟨,
33', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Zequi ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 2 - 0, Tounkara N. ⚽,
59', Gallastegui J. ↓, Moreno F. ↑,
60', Feria J. ↓, Lorenzo O. ↑,
60', Trilles M. ↓, Ramon A. ↑,
60', Rodriguez D. ↓, Armero S. ↑,
60', Cubillas D. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
69', Alonso I. ↓, Fita A. ↑,
69', Traore B. ↓, Vaquero ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Vaquero ⚽,
75', Zequi ↓, Kikin ↑,
81', Moreno F. 🟨,
87', Fita A. 🟨,
88', Tounkara N. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
90', Rodri ↓, Arruabarrena J. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Sanluqueño is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tarazona has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sanluqueño is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Sanluqueño - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.7%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Sanluqueño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.11.25	Algeciras - Atlético Sanluqueño	3:0 ✺
15.11.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Villarreal B - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	CE Europa - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLL
- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.11.25	Alcorcón - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Tarazona - Villarreal B	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Sabadell - Tarazona	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Tarazona - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Ebro - Tarazona	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWTTL

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