The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Sanluqueño 28%
Draw 27%
Villarreal B 45%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
11.9%
20.5%
67.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
11.5%
19.8%
70.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Sanluqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Sanluqueño's performance.
Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villarreal B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (-16.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Sanluqueño that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+25.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villarreal B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlético Sanluqueño - Villarreal B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rocafort R. (G) 2. Sola Villalba R. 12. Ukwuije N. 14. Pavon A. 28. Bargallo A. 3. Cabrera J. 5. Niza S. 26. Andujar J. 7. Kikin 15. Denia M. 6. Mulenga T.
25. Kinareykin Y. (G) 14. Fores A. 4. Sierra I. 3. Ortiz E. 21. Rodriguez I. 33. Bonafe C. 15. Tidiane Thiam C. 16. Pascual P. 36. El Jmili N. 24. Arguigue Safsati A. 10. Eto'o E.
Substitutes
24. Ajouaou V. 4. Almagro S. 9. Alvarez I. 30. Barea P. 29. Cardona G. 18. Diallo B. 13. Dominguez R. (G) 19. Juarez A. 20. Lobede U. 11. Simon L. 25. Valencia F. (G)
2. Budesca D. 26. Gaitan J. 30. Garcia A. 1. Gomez R. (G) 11. Lopez H. 39. Patas 7. Salazar S. 38. Valls A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Arguigue Safsati A. ⚽,
31', Eto'o E. (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', 1 - 1, Niza S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bargallo A. ↓, Almagro S. ↑,
53', Niza S. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Arguigue Safsati A. ↓, Valls A. ↑,
65', Eto'o E. ↓, Lopez H. ↑,
65', Fores A. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
70', Rodriguez I. ↓, Salazar S. ↑,
73', Andujar J. ↓, Reyes G. ↑,
73', Rocafort R. ↓, Valencia F. ↑,
78', Garcia A. 🟥,
86', El Jmili N. ↓, Gaitan J. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
Sanluqueño is Relegated to
Sanluqueño has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Villarreal B is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Villarreal B is the clear favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sanluqueño won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Sanluqueño won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).