Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 11

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Atlético Santa Cruz		UCAM Murcia B

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.98	2.82
	3.34	2.02	3.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.02)	2.5 ↓ (3.15)	3.16 ↓ (3.3)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Santa Cruz
32.8%

Draw
37.5%

UCAM Murcia B
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.5%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

28.4%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Santa Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Santa Cruz's form might have worsened.

UCAM Murcia B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Santa Cruz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia B than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)

Santa Cruz is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

UCAM Murcia B has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

UCAM Murcia B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, UCAM Murcia B has had a series of home games.

Santa Cruz might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Santa Cruz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
01.11.25	Atlético Santa Cruz - El Palmar	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Deportivo Marítimo - Atlético Santa Cruz	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Atlético Santa Cruz - Muleño	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Santomera - Atlético Santa Cruz	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Atlético Santa Cruz - Caravaca	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTWW
- UCAM Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
09.11.25	UCAM Murcia B - Santomera	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	UCAM Murcia B - Caravaca	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	UCAM Murcia B - Cieza	0:3 ✺
19.10.25	Bala Azul - UCAM Murcia B	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	UCAM Murcia B - Olímpico de Totana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTLTW

Atlético Santa Cruz - UCAM Murcia B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide