Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	UCAM Murcia B		Cieza

	1	X	2
	3.35	2.88	2.15
	9.84	5.31	1.26	Watch
	3.35	2.9	2.2
	3.5	3.05	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.01 ↑ (3.05)	3.54 ↑ (3.1)	1.92 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia B
19.9%

Draw
28.2%

Cieza
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

29.6%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

29%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UCAM Murcia B's form might have worsened.

Cieza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cieza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia B than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UCAM Murcia B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cieza than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cieza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

UCAM Murcia B - Cieza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Pujante D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+5', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia B won 3.

UCAM Murcia B has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ciudad de Cieza is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ciudad de Cieza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia B won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, UCAM Murcia B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
19.10.25	Bala Azul - UCAM Murcia B	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	UCAM Murcia B - Olímpico de Totana	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Cartagena B - UCAM Murcia B	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	UCAM Murcia B - Real Murcia B	1:3 ✺
14.09.25	UCAM Murcia B - Minerva	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWWLT
- CD Cieza
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
12.10.25	El Palmar - Cieza	2:3 ✺
05.10.25	Cieza - Deportivo Marítimo	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Unión Molinense - Cieza	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Santomera - Cieza	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Cieza - Caravaca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
04.05.25	Cieza - UCAM Murcia B	1:3
21.12.24	UCAM Murcia B - Cieza	2:1
01.05.24	UCAM Murcia B - Cieza	0:1
07.01.24	Cieza - UCAM Murcia B	2:0
26.02.23	Cieza - UCAM Murcia B	1:2
30.10.22	UCAM Murcia B - Cieza	0:1
03.02.19	UCAM Murcia B - Cieza	1:1

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