The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UCAM Murcia B 44.2%
Draw 36.6%
Caravaca 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.4%
23.9%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.4%
23%
21.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UCAM Murcia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UCAM Murcia B's form might have worsened.
Caravaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia B than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UCAM Murcia B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caravaca than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
UCAM Murcia B - Caravaca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia B won 2.
Recent performances by UCAM Murcia B have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Caravaca is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, UCAM Murcia B is seen as the favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia B won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, UCAM Murcia B won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).