Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro (Tucuman)

Referee: Zamora D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz


	Atlético Tucumán		Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.25	4.5	Watch
	1.9	3.2	4.35	Watch
	1.93	3.26	4.8
	1.88	3.25	4.67	Watch
	1.85	3	4.4
	1.89	3.14	4.58	Watch
	1.86	3.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.93)	3.19 ↑ (2.95)	4.58 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tucumán
50%

Draw
29.5%

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

31.4%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	18.2%	0%

Atlético Tucumán - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Tucumán (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - E Río Cuarto (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Atlético Tucumán (2.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Atlético Tucumán will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Tucumán (votes: 3 - 60%). E Río Cuarto (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ingolotti L. (G) 24. Di Placido L. (C) 6. Ferrari G. 20. Suso G. 3. Villa M. 11. Tesuri R. 45. Ortiz K. 5. Dominguez J. 35. Abeldano G. 9. Diaz L. 23. Lamendola N.	23. Bacchia R. (G) 2. Maffini G. (C) 6. Antonini J. 31. Valenti M. 16. Ostchega T. 17. Alanis G. 13. Romero F. 8. Rosane S. 32. Bajamich M. 9. Ferreira J. 11. Garnerone M.
Substitutes
30. Brondo M. 28. Compagnucci G. 25. Durso T. (G) 26. Ferreira Namandu C. D. 10. Franco N. 37. Godoy E. 31. Godoy L. 8. Ham E. 7. Martin Benitez 2. Paunero R. 38. Posse J. 27. Segovia A.	50. Abila R. 26. Forclaz E. 7. Gonzalez L. 10. Gonzalez T. 43. Lastra A. (G) 79. Leiva T. 18. Morales A. 30. Ojeda S. 25. Olmos T. 19. Talpone N. 20. Tevez M. 22. Valiente M.
Coaches
Colace H.	Delfino I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Tesuri R. ⚽,
37', Bacchia R. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Diaz L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ferreira J. ↓, Talpone N. ↑,
46', Valenti M. ↓, Olmos T. ↑,
61', Bajamich M. ↓, Abila R. ↑,
61', Rosane S. ↓, Gonzalez T. ↑,
64', Garnerone M. 🟨,
70', Dominguez J. ↓, Ham E. ↑,
72', Alanis G. 🟨,
74', Tesuri R. 🟨,
75', Alanis G. ↓, Forclaz E. ↑,
80', Tesuri R. ↓, Martin Benitez ↑,
80', Abeldano G. ↓, Compagnucci G. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Diaz L. ⚽, Ortiz K. (A),
87', Ortiz K. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
87', Diaz L. ↓, Brondo M. ↑,
89', 4 - 0, Lamendola N. ⚽, Compagnucci G. (A),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 15).

Atlético Tucumán has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In this match, Atlético Tucumán is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M. (Calf Injury) Ruiz R. (Knee Injury) Vallejo L. (Red Card)

There will not play in E Río Cuarto: Cabrera A. (Inactive) Fenoglio V. (Knee Injury) Lozano R. (Inactive) Ruiz M. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético Tucumán won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Including home match between the teams, Atlético Tucumán won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.02.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Atlético Tucumán - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Atlético Tucumán - Central Córdoba	0:0 ✺
23.01.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
15.01.26	Progreso - Atlético Tucumán	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTTLW
- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.02.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Independiente Rivadavia	0:1 ✺
03.02.26	Banfield - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:1 ✺
29.01.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Argentinos Juniors	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Tigre - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.11.25	Deportivo Madryn - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Argentina
16.05.23	Atlético Tucumán - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:3

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