The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Rivadavia 40.5%
Draw 32.5%
Atlético Tucumán 27%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.1%
29.2%
24.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
31.2%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Rivadavia's form might have worsened.
Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Rivadavia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Independiente Rivadavia - Atlético Tucumán Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Bolcato N. (G) 28. Vigo A. 2. Costa L. 42. Studer S. 8. Bucca L. 11. Rios G. 5. Bottari T. 25. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 10. Fernandez M. 9. Arce A. (C) 17. Salas M.
1. Ingolotti L. (G) 24. Di Placido L. 26. Ferreira Namandu C. D. 36. Vallejo L. 21. Galvan I. 19. Vega L. 11. Tesuri R. (C) 31. Godoy L. 10. Franco N. 23. Lamendola N. 9. Diaz L.
Substitutes
19. Atencio R. 27. Crego D. 23. Diaz L. 3. Elordi J. M. 14. Gomez L. 21. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 34. Moreyra S. 13. Osella A. 7. Ramis V. 43. Sartori F. 77. Sequeira L. 40. Villalba I.
30. Brondo M. 14. Canelo A. 28. Compagnucci G. 25. Durso T. (G) 5. Fernandez J. 6. Ferrari G. 27. Granillo R. 8. Ham E. 32. Infante J. 22. Pimienta F. 18. Ruiz R. 3. Villa M.
Coaches
Berti A.
Falcioni J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
39', Rios G. 🟨,
45+1', Ingolotti L. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Arce A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Bucca L. ↓, Elordi J. M. ↑,
72', Lamendola N. ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
72', Tesuri R. ↓, Ruiz R. ↑,
78', Arce A. 🟨,
79', Rios G. ↓, Sartori F. ↑,
84', Franco N. ↓, Granillo R. ↑,
87', Fernandez M. ↓, Crego D. ↑,
87', Salas M. ↓, Villalba I. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Canelo A. ⚽, Godoy L. (A),
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, Sartori F. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Diaz L. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Studer S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Granillo R. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Villalba I. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Ferreira Namandu C. D. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Vigo A. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Canelo A. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Arce A. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Neutral location.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 1.
Independiente R is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Atlético Tucumán has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Independiente R will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
Outrights of Copa Argentina for now
Atl. Tucuman: 18.96%
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Tucumán - the odds 3.83 are the expected chance of winning is 24.67%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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Bolcato N. (G) 
Costa L. 
Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 
Diaz L. 
Ham E. 
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