Match Info

Primera Nacional - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Abel Sastre (Puerto Madryn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Deportivo Madryn		Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.25	7.5	Watch
	1.6	3.1	6.9	Watch
	1.59	3.25	8.86
	1.64	2.83	9.28	Watch
	1.62	3.05	6.48
	1.62	3.2	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.77)	3.11 ↓ (3.18)	7.67 ↑ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Madryn
58%

Draw
29.9%

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

29.1%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

29.4%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Madryn's performance.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estudiantes de Río Cuarto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estudiantes de Río Cuarto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Deportivo Madryn - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonnin Y. (C) 4. Sosa A. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 6. Postel S. 3. Martinez D. 8. Juncos B. 5. Recalde F. 10. Solis N. 11. Rivero G. 7. Crego D. 9. Silba L.	1. Olivera B. (G) 4. Antonini J. 2. Maffini G. (C) 6. Ojeda S. 3. Angelini L. 8. Garnerone M. 5. Cabrera A. 10. Gonzalez T. 7. Gonzalez L. 9. Ferreira J. 11. Valiente M.
Substitutes
20. Ayala E. 16. Bustos A. 19. Galeano J. 12. Hass J. (G) 13. Mansilla M. 18. Montagna E. 17. Nicolas T. J. 15. Yossen T.	12. Bigo J. (G) 14. Cobos F. 16. Cuello A. 20. Fontana A. 18. Morales A. 13. Nelle S. 17. Orosco B. 19. Tevez M. 15. Vazquez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Martinez D. 🟨,
25', Ojeda S. 🟨,
39', Gonzalez L. ↓, Fontana A. ↑,
40', Antonini J. 🟨,
45+3', Recalde F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Martinez D. ↓, Galeano J. ↑,
53', Juncos B. ↓, Montagna E. ↑,
62', Ferreira J. ↓, Cuello A. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Silba L. ⚽, Galeano J. (A),
71', Sosa A. ↓, Ayala E. ↑,
75', Garnerone M. ↓, Cobos F. ↑,
75', Gonzalez T. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
75', Valiente M. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
81', Recalde F. 🟨,
84', Giacopuzzi F. 🟨,
85', 1 - 1, Morales A. ⚽,
90+4', Bonnin Y. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-2. 2nd leg.

In recent matches, Deportivo Madryn has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

E Río Cuarto is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Deportivo Madryn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Deportivo Madryn is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Madryn won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Madryn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.11.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Deportivo Madryn	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Deportivo Madryn - Deportivo Morón	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Deportivo Morón - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Deportivo Madryn - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Madryn	Deportivo Madryn awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLW?
- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.11.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Deportivo Madryn	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Estudiantes de Caseros - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.11.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Deportivo Madryn	2:0
22.06.24	Deportivo Madryn - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0
04.02.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Deportivo Madryn	1:0
02.08.22	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Deportivo Madryn	1:1

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