Match Info

Date: 20 March 2021, Saturday


	Atlético Unión Güímar		Tenerife B

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.3	1.78
	3.55	3.3	1.77
	3.7	3.3	1.83
	3.38	3.16	2.1
	3.76	3.5	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↓ (3.81)	3.31 ↓ (3.55)	1.87 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Unión Güímar
24.8%

Draw
27.2%

Tenerife B
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

25.5%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

21.2%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Unión Güímar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Tenerife B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Unión Güímar than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Unión Güímar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife B than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tenerife B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Unión Güímar - Tenerife B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 12 (Relegation Group) and 4 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 12 (Second stage)).

Atlético Unión Güímar is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tenerife B is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tenerife B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Atlético Unión Güímar have a series of home games.

In this match Tenerife B is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Unión Güímar won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Unión Güímar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Unión Güímar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
14.03.21	Atlético Unión Güímar - Atlético Paso	3:3 ✺
10.03.21	Atlético Unión Güímar - Mensajero	0:1 ✺
03.03.21	Vera de Puerto Cruz - Atlético Unión Güímar	2:1 ✺
20.02.21	Atlético Unión Güímar - Atlético Victoria	0:0 ✺
17.02.21	Atlético Unión Güímar - Tenisca	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLTL
- Tenerife B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
17.03.21	Tenerife B - Ibarra	2:0 ✺
10.03.21	Atlético Victoria - Tenerife B	1:4 ✺
07.03.21	Tenerife B - Buzanada	5:1 ✺
27.02.21	Ibarra - Tenerife B	0:1 ✺
24.02.21	Tenerife B - Atletico Tacoronte	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
16.11.19	Tenerife B - Atlético Unión Güímar	1:0
16.03.19	Atlético Unión Güímar - Tenerife B	1:2
28.10.18	Tenerife B - Atlético Unión Güímar	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
13.05.18	Atlético Unión Güímar - Tenerife B	0:2
23.12.17	Tenerife B - Atlético Unión Güímar	2:0

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