Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 20

Date: 24 June 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Don León Kolbowski (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Possi Y. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports 2
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Atlanta Buenos Aires		Almirante Brown

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.9	Watch
	2.15	2.85	3.6
	2.1	2.95	3.75	Watch
	2.08	3	4.23
	2.08	3	4.23
	2.05	2.9	3.9
	2.03	2.97	4.01	Watch
	1.83	3.1	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.88)	2.98 ↓ (3.04)	4.05 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta Buenos Aires
45.6%

Draw
31.3%

Almirante Brown
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

30.2%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

32.5%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta Buenos Aires, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.1%	30.4%	30.4%

Atlanta Buenos Aires - Almirante Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). Almirante Brown will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlanta: 19.2% – 59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez A. (C) 4. Rosales P. 2. Herrera T. 6. Evangelista F. 3. Silva T. 8. Dramisino A. 5. Requena J. 7. Medina N. 11. Marinucci L. 9. Bodencer E. 10. Bisanz F.	1. Martinez R. (C) 4. Cardozo E. 2. Mino F. 6. Errecalde G. 3. Quiroz L. 7. Acosta N. 5. Gauna S. 8. Piteo M. A. 11. Ibanez J. 10. Vera S. 9. Diaz T.
Substitutes
16. Canete J. 20. Costantino I. 14. Flores L. 12. Galvan B. (G) 17. Gonzalez M. 15. Previtali N. 18. Rios L. 13. Rojas T. 19. Susvielles J.	14. Abreliano M. 16. Almada T. 20. Bonacci P. 15. Cenci B. 18. Fernandez B. 12. Ferreyra N. (G) 17. Gonzalez R. 19. Portillo S. 13. Varela C.
Coaches
Garcia L.	Bazan Vera D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Requena J. ⚽,
19', Mino F. 🟨,
21', Bodencer E. ↓, Susvielles J. ↑,
28', Silva T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Piteo M. A. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
60', Cardozo E. ↓, Fernandez B. ↑,
60', Ibanez J. ↓, Portillo S. ↑,
70', Medina N. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
70', Requena J. ↓, Previtali N. ↑,
77', Quiroz L. 🟨,
82', Gauna S. ↓, Cenci B. ↑,
82', Acosta N. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
83', Bisanz F. ↓, Rojas T. ↑,
83', Marinucci L. ↓, Costantino I. ↑,
90+2', Gonzalez M. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlanta won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Atlanta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Atlanta won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlanta won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.06.24	All Boys - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
03.06.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Defensores Unidos	1:1 ✺
26.05.24	Deportivo Madryn - Atlanta Buenos Aires	3:0 ✺
19.05.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
12.05.24	San Telmo - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTLWW
- Almirante Brown
Copa Argentina
19.06.24	Boca Juniors - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.06.24	Defensores Unidos - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
01.06.24	Almirante Brown - Deportivo Madryn	0:1 ✺
25.05.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Almirante Brown	1:2 ✺
20.05.24	Almirante Brown - San Telmo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.02.24	Almirante Brown - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1
17.03.22	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Almirante Brown	1:1
09.08.21	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Almirante Brown	0:1
27.03.21	Almirante Brown - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1
Argentinian Primera B
14.04.19	Almirante Brown - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1
03.11.18	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Almirante Brown	2:1
10.02.18	Almirante Brown - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1

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