Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 18

Date: 3 June 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Don León Kolbowski (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Pereira G. (Arg)


	Atlanta Buenos Aires		Defensores Unidos

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.78	3.25	4.33
	1.8	3.3	4.5	Watch
	1.81	3.34	4.92
	1.81	3.34	4.92
	1.8	3.25	4.6
	1.79	3.3	4.61	Watch
	1.79	3.45	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.88)	3.35 ↑ (3.2)	4.56 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta Buenos Aires
51.8%

Draw
27.8%

Defensores Unidos
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

28.9%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

28.2%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	18.2%	0%

Atlanta Buenos Aires - Defensores Unidos Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlanta Buenos Aires will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez A. (G) 4. Rosales P. 2. Gissi D. 6. Rojas T. 3. Silva T. 8. Dramisino A. 5. Requena J. 10. Bisanz F. 11. Marinucci L. 7. Medina N. 9. Costantino I.	1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Ponce J. 2. Contreras M. 6. Zadel D. 3. Rapetti M. 8. Juarez R. 5. Nizzo M. 7. Peralta M. 10. Guerra Brian 9. Velazquez J. 11. Suarez J.
Substitutes
13. Evangelista F. 14. Flores L. 12. Galvan B. (G) 17. Gonzalez M. 18. Lattanzio C. 16. Mosca N. 15. Previtali N. 19. Rios L. 20. Vega G.	12. Aquino M. (G) 15. Arregui L. 20. Caballero F. 16. Cavagnero N. 18. Fernandez K. 19. Gonzalez J. N. 14. Mariatti M. 13. Morales A. 17. Sivetti F.
Coaches
Garcia L.	Lema D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Gissi D. (Own goal),
45', Nizzo M. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Gissi D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Peralta M. 🟨,
63', Rosales P. 🟨,
65', Requena J. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
66', Juarez R. ↓, Gonzalez J. N. ↑,
72', Medina N. ↓, Rios L. ↑,
72', Dramisino A. ↓, Previtali N. ↑,
77', Peralta M. ↓, Sivetti F. ↑,
77', Guerra Brian ↓, Fernandez K. ↑,
83', Bisanz F. ↓, Lattanzio C. ↑,
83', Rosales P. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
90+2', Suarez J. ↓, Caballero F. ↑,
90+4', Rapetti M. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).

Recent matches Atlanta is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Defensores Unidos is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Atlanta is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Atlanta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlanta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.05.24	Deportivo Madryn - Atlanta Buenos Aires	3:0 ✺
19.05.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
12.05.24	San Telmo - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
04.05.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Chaco For Ever	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWL
- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.05.24	Agropecuario Argentino - Defensores Unidos	0:0 ✺
19.05.24	Defensores Unidos - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
11.05.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Defensores Unidos - San Telmo	2:2 ✺
28.04.24	Chaco For Ever - Defensores Unidos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
20.04.19	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Defensores Unidos	1:0
10.11.18	Defensores Unidos - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:1

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