Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 27

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento (Isidro Casanova)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Almirante Brown		Deportivo Madryn

	1	X	2
	2.20	2.75	3.80
	2.20	2.80	3.50
	2.28	2.68	3.45	Watch
	2.22	2.87	4.19
	2.35	2.76	3.63	Watch
	2.25	2.60	4.20
	2.24	2.79	3.78
	2.15	2.75	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.2)	2.75 ↑ (2.63)	3.75 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almirante Brown
41.5%

Draw
33.7%

Deportivo Madryn
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

34.6%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

35.3%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Almirante Brown - Deportivo Madryn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galvan B. (G) 4. Abreliano M. 2. Cardozo E. 6. Cabral G. 3. Alegre Rojas G. 8. Villoldo T. 5. Jara L. 10. Pascual L. 11. Santiago M. 7. Flores G. 9. Zanotti M.	1. Bonnin Y. (C) 4. Cosi J. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 6. Corvalan C. 3. Diarte L. 7. Marinucci L. 5. Recalde F. 8. Machado C. 10. Solis N. 9. Silba L. 11. Servetto N.
Substitutes
12. Bottini A. (G) 16. Gauna S. 20. Gonzalez R. 17. Ibanez J. 13. Levi M. 19. Lopez J. 18. Martinez E. 15. Velazquez J. 14. Velurtas P.	18. Bersano F. 15. Dionisio A. 13. Gutierrez A. 17. Jara E. 19. Martinez A. 16. Martinez D. 12. Montero M. (G) 14. Ortiz N. D. 20. Peinipil J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Villoldo T. ⚽, Abreliano M. (A),
22', Corvalan C. 🟨,
35', Giacopuzzi F. ↓, Ortiz N. D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Cosi J. ↓, Dionisio A. ↑,
61', Machado C. ↓, Bersano F. ↑,
64', Flores G. ↓, Ibanez J. ↑,
64', Zanotti M. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
66', Diarte L. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
66', Marinucci L. ↓, Peinipil J. ↑,
70', Pascual L. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
81', Jara L. ↓, Velazquez J. ↑,
81', Santiago M. ↓, Gauna S. ↑,
86', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
90+6', Gonzalez R. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Almirante Brown is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Deportivo Madryn is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Almirante Brown may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Almirante Brown will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Almirante Brown won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Almirante Brown won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.08.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Almirante Brown	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Tristán Suárez - Almirante Brown	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Almirante Brown - Ciudad de Bolívar	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Almirante Brown - Racing de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Mitre - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WLWWT
- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.08.26	Deportivo Madryn - Godoy Cruz	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Deportivo Madryn - Mitre	4:0 ✺
16.08.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Deportivo Madryn	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Madryn	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Deportivo Madryn - All Boys	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.04.26	Deportivo Madryn - Almirante Brown	2:1
20.10.24	Deportivo Madryn - Almirante Brown	5:1
01.06.24	Almirante Brown - Deportivo Madryn	0:1
26.06.22	Deportivo Madryn - Almirante Brown	2:0

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