Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 15

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Baletto (Dock Sud)

Referee: Gimenez P. (Arg)


	San Telmo		Atlanta Buenos Aires

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	4	Watch
	2.05	3	3.6
	2.1	2.95	3.75	Watch
	2.17	2.96	3.97
	2.18	2.82	4.2
	2.05	3	3.7
	2.08	2.96	3.85
	2.11	2.85	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.07)	2.93 ↓ (3)	3.87 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Telmo
44.1%

Draw
31.8%

Atlanta Buenos Aires
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

30.9%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

30%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Atlanta Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

San Telmo - Atlanta Buenos Aires Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. San Telmo will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bustos B. (G) 4. Vallejos M. 2. Gonzalez H. (C) 6. Lamosa A. 3. Ayala R. 8. Gonzalez R. 5. Yangali J. 7. Larthirigoyen I. 10. Fernandez A. 9. Ayunta F. 11. Barreto J.	1. Sanchez A. (C) 4. Rosales P. 2. Gissi D. 6. Rojas T. 3. Silva T. 8. Dramisino A. 5. Requena J. 7. Medina N. 10. Bisanz F. 9. Bodencer E. 11. Marinucci L.
Substitutes
12. Balderrama M. A. (G) 19. Heiz N. 13. Lillo G. 17. Martinez A. 18. Mayenfisch G. 16. Medina C. 15. Pardo I. 14. Pollacchi L. 20. Salerno M.	13. Alegre A. 17. Costantino I. 14. Flores L. 12. Galvan B. (G) 16. Mosca N. 15. Previtali N. 19. Rios L. 18. Rueda M. 20. Vega G.
Coaches
Grelak A.	Garcia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Fernandez A. 🟨,
17', Rojas T. 🟨,
21', Gonzalez H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
56', Rosales P. 🟨,
61', Silva T. 🟨,
71', 0 - 1, Bisanz F. ⚽,
76', Gissi D. 🟨,
82', Sanchez A. 🟨,
90', Previtali N. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Telmo won 2.

San Telmo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Atlanta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlanta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match San Telmo is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches San Telmo won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-12.

Including matches at home between the teams San Telmo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.05.24	Defensores Unidos - San Telmo	2:2 ✺
28.04.24	San Telmo - Deportivo Madryn	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Atlético de Rafaela - San Telmo	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	Arsenal Sarandí - San Telmo	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	San Telmo - Chaco For Ever	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWWTW
- Atlanta Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.05.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Chaco For Ever	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Club Almagro	3:0 ✺
13.04.24	Brown de Adrogué - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:3 ✺
08.04.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Temperley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.10.22	San Telmo - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0
Argentinian Primera B
18.03.19	San Telmo - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:1
09.10.18	Atlanta Buenos Aires - San Telmo	1:1
28.04.18	Atlanta Buenos Aires - San Telmo	1:2
11.12.17	San Telmo - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:2
09.05.17	Atlanta Buenos Aires - San Telmo	1:1
26.10.16	San Telmo - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:3

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