Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 16

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox (Zarate)

Referee: Monson Brizuela G. (Arg)


	Defensores Unidos		Deportivo Madryn

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.9	3
	2.55	2.75	2.9
	2.65	2.8	2.9
	2.71	2.76	3.14
	2.71	2.76	3.14
	2.6	2.75	2.9
	2.61	2.79	2.91
	2.55	2.85	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.19)	2.8 ↓ (2.96)	2.98 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores Unidos
35.5%

Draw
33.3%

Deportivo Madryn
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

31.3%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

29.6%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensores Unidos's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	90%	0%

Defensores Unidos - Deportivo Madryn Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Defensores Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 71.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Ponce J. 2. Contreras M. 6. Mariatti M. 3. Olivera L. 5. Nizzo M. 7. Peralta M. 8. Sivetti F. 10. Guerra Brian 11. Suarez J. 9. Velazquez J. (C)	1. Bonnin Y. (G) 4. Ardiles F. 2. Calderon P. 6. Zules J. 3. Moreno A. 8. Peinipil M. 5. Recalde F. 7. Crego D. 10. Sanchez N. 9. Diellos D. 11. Ferreyra B.
Substitutes
12. Aquino M. (G) 20. Caballero F. 15. Cavagnero N. 16. Fernandez F. 17. Fernandez K. 18. Hernandez R. 19. Lonardi F. 13. Morales A. 14. Rapetti M.	16. Arreguin E. 19. Gimenez B. 12. Hass J. (G) 15. Jara E. 13. Mansilla M. 20. Palacio J. 18. Perez B. 17. Zegarra Z. 14. Zuliani H.
Coaches
Lema D.	Gracian L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Sivetti F. ↓, Cavagnero N. ↑,
33', Mariatti M. 🟨,
42', Henricot F. 🟥,
45+1', Peralta M. ↓, Aquino M. ↑,
45+1', Zules J. ↓, Mansilla M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Moreno A. ↓, Zuliani H. ↑,
50', Ardiles F. 🟨,
53', 🟨,
63', Ferreyra B. 🟨,
64', Ardiles F. ↓, Arreguin E. ↑,
65', Ferreyra B. ↓, Palacio J. ↑,
67', 🟨,
82', Crego D. ↓, Perez B. ↑,
83', Velazquez J. ↓, Fernandez K. ↑,
83', Suarez J. ↓, Caballero F. ↑,
83', Guerra Brian 🟨,
83', Guerra Brian ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 10).

Recent matches Defensores Unidos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Madryn is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Deportivo Madryn could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.05.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Defensores Unidos - San Telmo	2:2 ✺
28.04.24	Chaco For Ever - Defensores Unidos	3:0 ✺
20.04.24	Defensores Unidos - Defensores de Belgrano	3:2 ✺
13.04.24	Club Almagro - Defensores Unidos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLWT
- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.05.24	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Madryn	0:1 ✺
04.05.24	Deportivo Madryn - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	San Telmo - Deportivo Madryn	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Deportivo Madryn - Chaco For Ever	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Deportivo Madryn	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTLWW

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