Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 13

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Pasquale (Belgrano)

Referee: Possi Y. (Arg)


	Defensores de Belgrano		Atlanta Buenos Aires

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.75	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.5
	2.1	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.15	3.15	3.93
	2.15	3.02	3.93
	2.1	3.1	3.5
	2.12	3.13	3.49	Watch
	2.11	3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.93)	3.09 ↓ (3.12)	3.66 ↓ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano
44.1%

Draw
30.3%

Atlanta Buenos Aires
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

29.1%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

29.7%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Atlanta Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Defensores de Belgrano - Atlanta Buenos Aires Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pietrobono I. (G) 4. Mendoza G. 6. Martinez L. (C) 2. De Tomasso J. 3. Sanchez S. 8. Benitez A. 5. Gutierrez I. 7. Gomez B. 10. Salto C. 11. Moyano P. 9. Sayago D.	1. Sanchez A. (G) 4. Rosales P. 2. Gissi D. 6. Rojas T. 3. Silva T. 8. Dramisino A. 5. Requena J. 10. Previtali N. 7. Bisanz F. 9. Costantino I. 11. Marinucci L.
Substitutes
20. Aquilino G. 15. Barbero M. 19. Bogado M. 16. Borsotti N. 17. Hernandez A. 13. Laumann F. 14. Massaccesi A. 12. Nocetti A. (G) 18. Pereyra F.	20. Bodencer E. 14. Flores L. 12. Galvan B. (G) 15. Gonzalez M. 13. Herrera T. 18. Lattanzio C. 17. Medina N. 16. Mosca N. 19. Rueda M.
Coaches
Mayor C.	Garcia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Salto C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Mendoza G. ⚽,
63', Marinucci L. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
63', Previtali N. ↓, Rueda M. ↑,
65', Bisanz F. ↓, Bodencer E. ↑,
69', Moyano P. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
75', Rosales P. ↓, Medina N. ↑,
75', Sayago D. ↓, Aquilino G. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Aquilino G. ⚽,
83', Gomez B. ↓, Massaccesi A. ↑,
83', Salto C. ↓, Pereyra F. ↑,
84', Benitez A. ↓, Bogado M. ↑,
89', Hernandez A. 🟨,
89', Rojas T. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
90+2', Flores L. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensores de Belgrano won 1.

Defensores de Belgrano is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Atlanta is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Defensores de Belgrano will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Defensores de Belgrano won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Defensores de Belgrano won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.04.24	Defensores Unidos - Defensores de Belgrano	3:2 ✺
14.04.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Deportivo Madryn	2:3 ✺
07.04.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Defensores de Belgrano	0:1 ✺
01.04.24	Defensores de Belgrano - San Telmo	0:1 ✺
25.03.24	Chaco For Ever - Defensores de Belgrano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLL
- Atlanta Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.04.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Club Almagro	3:0 ✺
13.04.24	Brown de Adrogué - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:3 ✺
08.04.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Temperley	0:2 ✺
31.03.24	Deportivo Morón - Atlanta Buenos Aires	3:0 ✺
25.03.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.07.22	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2
Argentinian Primera B
17.03.18	Defensores de Belgrano - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:1
28.10.17	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Defensores de Belgrano	2:0
19.05.17	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1
08.11.16	Defensores de Belgrano - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:0
12.03.16	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0
22.09.15	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1

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