The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlanta Buenos Aires 43%
Draw 34.8%
Deportivo Morón 22.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.5%
29.8%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.7%
31.2%
21.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Deportivo Morón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta Buenos Aires, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Atlanta Buenos Aires - Deportivo Morón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rago F. (G) 4. Gomez J. 2. Fara C. 6. Rojas T. 3. Ferracutti G. 5. Previtali N. (C) 7. Ambrogio L. 11. Medina N. 8. Valdez J. 10. Bisanz F. 9. Echeverria M.
1. Salva J. (G) 4. Cabrera J. M. 2. Lorenzon F. 6. Vazquez F. 3. Livera J. 8. Gonzalez G. 5. Franco E. 10. Gonzalez Y. 11. Bittolo M. (C) 7. Sanguinetti F. 9. Costantino I.
Substitutes
19. Bauman J. 18. Coronel S. 20. Dellarossa J. 17. Fedele L. 14. Flores L. 12. Lopez Kaleniuk L. (G) 15. Montero F. 13. Moreira R. 16. Tolosa N.
15. Ballini M. 18. Beron J. 16. Contreras E. 13. Cortave M. 20. Fergonzi R. 12. Finochietto L. (G) 17. Kubiszyn S. 14. Lazza E. 19. Olivares J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Livera J. 🟨,
9', Cabrera J. M. 🟨,
9', Echeverria M. 🟨,
18', Ferracutti G. 🟥,
19', Previtali N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bittolo M. ↓, Ballini M. ↑,
52', Vazquez F. 🟨,
57', Livera J. ↓, Lazza E. ↑,
57', Sanguinetti F. ↓, Beron J. ↑,
67', Bisanz F. ↓, Bauman J. ↑,
67', Valdez J. ↓, Coronel S. ↑,
67', Ferracutti G. ↓, Tolosa N. ↑,
68', Gonzalez G. ↓, Kubiszyn S. ↑,
74', Echeverria M. ↓, Dellarossa J. ↑,
76', Beron J. 🟨,
77', Medina N. ↓, Fedele L. ↑,
83', Franco E. ↓, Cortave M. ↑,
90+2', Dellarossa J. 🟨,
Preview
1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.
Recent performances by Atlanta have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Deportivo Morón is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Atlanta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Morón - the odds 4.03 are the expected chance of winning is 22.62%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Rago F. (G) 
Sanguinetti F. 
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