The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Morón 55.6%
Draw 28.4%
Mitre 16%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57.3%
28.1%
14.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.1%
27.2%
14.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Morón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Deportivo Morón - Mitre Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Salva J. (G) 10. Berterame G. 5. Burruchaga M. 4. Cardozo L. 11. Contreras E. 8. Kubiszyn S. 6. Lazza E. 9. Levato M. 3. Livera J. 2. Salvareschi B. 7. Toloza F.
1. Pietrobono I. (G) 5. Alessandroni J. 7. Cabral Y. 3. Ferrari F. 11. Garrido O. 9. Machado M. 10. Maldonado M. 4. Mieres B. 2. Minissale P. 6. Romero M. 8. Vazquez M.
Substitutes
18. Benitez M. 12. Diaz F. (G) 19. Esquivel J. 13. Flores F. 16. Franco E. 15. Gonzalez M. 17. Huertas V. 14. Iniguez E. 20. Zappacosta J.
14. Correa L. 18. Ferrari M. 16. Gonzalez R. 20. Gorla 12. Ledesma J. (G) 13. Lillo 15. Lopez A. 17. Rosales S. 19. Zarate J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Cabral Y. ⚽, Machado M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lazza E. ↓, Esquivel J. ↑,
64', Toloza F. ↓, Zappacosta J. ↑,
64', Contreras E. ↓, Iniguez E. ↑,
70', Berterame G. 🟨,
71', Burruchaga M. ↓, Huertas V. ↑,
76', Cabral Y. ↓, Rosales S. ↑,
76', Garrido O. ↓, Lillo ↑,
76', Berterame G. ↓, Benitez M. ↑,
83', Machado M. ↓, Gorla F. J. ↑,
83', Vazquez M. ↓, Correa L. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 2, Gorla F. J. ⚽, Alessandroni J. (A),
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Primera Nacional Promotion - Playoffs and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Morón won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
The betting markets point to Deportivo Morón as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Morón has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:6 (averaging 1.1:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo Morón against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 6:3 goals (averaging 1.5:0.8 per game).
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Salva J. (G) 
Gorla 
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