The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gimnasia y Tiro 39.6%
Draw 33.6%
Atlanta Buenos Aires 26.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.8%
33.2%
24.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
34.7%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Atlanta Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-3%)
Gimnasia y Tiro - Atlanta Buenos Aires Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cosentino F. (G) 4. Oviedo J. C. 2. Guanini M. 6. Diaz G. 3. Villarreal R. 8. Banega T. 5. Sivetti F. 10. Rinaldi N. 11. Rojas F. 7. Rocca J. 9. Contin N.
1. Rago F. (G) 4. Garcia M. 2. Moreira R. 6. Rojas T. 3. Sosa R. 8. Castro Ponce T. 5. Rivero B. 11. Romero F. 7. Alvarez F. 9. Quintana A. 10. Rodriguez I.
Substitutes
16. Aguirre J. 17. Capano J. 15. Chaves I. F. 13. Gordillo J. 20. Gordillo L. 18. Karabulut F. 12. Papaleo J. (G) 19. Rodriguez P. A. 14. Tallura A.
15. Arguello D. 18. Bernardi C. 19. Caceres F. 13. Galeano L. 12. Lopez Kaleniuk L. (G) 16. Mendoza G. 20. Miranda G. 14. Ostachuk P. 17. Puch J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Rojas F. ⚽, Contin N. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Rivero B. ⚽, Sosa R. (A),
36', Sosa R. 🟨,
39', Guanini M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', Sivetti F. 🟨,
62', Oviedo J. C. ↓, Tallura A. ↑,
62', Contin N. ↓, Gordillo L. ↑,
62', Villarreal R. ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
66', Rojas T. 🟨,
68', Romero F. ↓, Puch J. ↑,
74', Banega T. ↓, Chaves I. F. ↑,
75', 🟨,
76', Rojas T. 🟨,
77', Rivero B. ↓, Caceres F. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Capano J. ⚽, Sivetti F. (A),
87', Garcia M. ↓, Miranda G. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 1, Capano J. ⚽,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Primera Nacional Promotion - Playoffs and 3rd in the Promotion - Primera Nacional Promotion - Playoffs).
In recent outings, Gimnasia y Tiro has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Atlanta is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Gimnasia y Tiro holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Gimnasia y Tiro has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:5 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gimnasia y Tiro against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Atlanta Buenos Aires - the odds 3.74 are the expected chance of winning is 24.95%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.