Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 17

Date: 6 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Don León Kolbowski (Buenos Aires)


	Atlanta Buenos Aires		Gimnasia Jujuy

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.00	5.00	Watch
	1.87	2.85	4.75
	1.98	3.05	4.10	Watch
	1.92	2.97	5.52
	2.14	2.56	4.84	Watch
	1.85	2.90	4.50
	1.88	2.97	4.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.59)	2.9 ↑ (2.19)	4.81 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta Buenos Aires
48.4%

Draw
32.2%

Gimnasia Jujuy
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

42.6%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

42%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta Buenos Aires's performance.

Gimnasia Jujuy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta Buenos Aires that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia Jujuy Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rago F. (G) 4. Garcia M. 2. Moreira R. 6. Rojas T. 3. Arguello D. 8. Castro Ponce T. 5. Previtali N. 10. Puch J. 7. Alvarez F. 9. Quintana A. 11. Fedele L.	1. Alvarez M. (G) 4. Lopez D. 2. Cosaro G. 6. Dematei N. 3. Endrizzi E. 8. Gallardo D. 5. Soria H. 7. Maidana F. 10. Molina F. 9. Cachi M. 11. Bianchi O.
Substitutes
16. Bernardi C. 20. Castro F. 13. Galeano L. 12. Lopez Kaleniuk L. (G) 17. Mendoza G. 14. Ostachuk P. 15. Rivero B. 19. Rodriguez I. 18. Sosa R.	18. Arganaraz A. 14. Camargo F. 17. Casa M. 20. Franzoni J. 16. Paradela F. 19. Pinto A. 15. Pombo C. 12. Ramos Mingo M. (G) 13. Varela J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Fedele L. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
27', Molina F. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Quintana A. ⚽, Moreira R. (A),
49', Soria H. 🟨,
50', Dematei N. 🟨,
57', 2 - 0, Puch J. ⚽, Quintana A. (A),
59', Bianchi O. ↓, Franzoni J. ↑,
59', Cachi M. ↓, Casa M. ↑,
59', Soria H. ↓, Paradela F. ↑,
61', Rojas T. 🟨,
68', Moreira R. 🟨,
71', Rodriguez I. ↓, Bernardi C. ↑,
71', Puch J. ↓, Rivero B. ↑,
76', Lopez D. ↓, Arganaraz A. ↑,
84', Alvarez F. ↓, Ostachuk P. ↑,
84', Quintana A. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Bernardi C. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Atlanta is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gimnasia Jujuy has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atlanta might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Atlanta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Atlanta Buenos Aires - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.05%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.05.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Tristán Suárez	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWWTW
- Gimnasia Jujuy
Copa Argentina
30.05.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Belgrano	2:3 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.05.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Temperley	1:0 ✺
12.05.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Maipú	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.10.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0
22.05.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:2
23.03.22	Gimnasia Jujuy - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:1

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