Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 16

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Don León Kolbowski (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Atlanta Buenos Aires		Gimnasia y Tiro

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.1	5.25	Watch
	1.85	3	4.4
	1.82	3	4.75	Watch
	1.86	3.07	4.92
	1.94	2.78	5.09	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4.75
	1.82	2.94	4.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.81)	2.97 ↓ (3.07)	4.85 ↓ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta Buenos Aires
50%

Draw
31%

Gimnasia y Tiro
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

30.4%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

29%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Gimnasia y Tiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia y Tiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rago F. (G) 4. Garcia M. 2. Moreira R. 6. Rojas T. 3. Arguello D. 5. Previtali N. 8. Castro Ponce T. 7. Castro F. 10. Puch J. 11. Fedele L. 9. Quintana A.	1. Cosentino F. (G) 4. Tallura A. 2. Guanini M. 6. Soto G. 3. Villarreal R. 10. Rinaldi N. 5. Birge M. 8. Sivetti F. 11. Rojas F. 7. Rocca J. 9. Contin N.
Substitutes
19. Alvarez F. 17. Ibarra M. 12. Lopez Kaleniuk L. (G) 14. Mendoza G. 13. Ostachuk P. 18. Rios L. 15. Rivero B. 20. Rodriguez I. 16. Sosa R.	18. Banega T. 19. Batista I. 16. Borquez T. 15. Capano J. 13. Diaz G. 14. Galetto J. 20. Gordillo J. 17. Gordillo L. 12. Papaleo J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Guanini M. 🟨,
42', Tallura A. 🟨,
43', Arguello D. 🟨,
45+3', Castro Ponce T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rocca J. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
46', Arguello D. ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
52', Puch J. 🟨,
58', Soto G. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
62', Castro F. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
69', Contin N. ↓, Gordillo L. ↑,
69', Birge M. ↓, Banega T. ↑,
72', Gordillo L. 🟨,
74', Puch J. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Banega T. ⚽, Capano J. (A),
85', Fedele L. 🟨,
85', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
86', Diaz G. 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, Previtali N. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', Rojas F. ↓, Galetto J. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).

Atlanta is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gimnasia y Tiro has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atlanta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atlanta is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.05.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Tristán Suárez	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Güemes - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWTWW
- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.05.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - San Martín de Tucumán	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Agropecuario Argentino	2:3 ✺
Copa Argentina
30.04.26	Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.09.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:2
24.05.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0
28.07.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0
11.03.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:1

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