Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 15

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Gigante del Norte (Salta)


	Gimnasia y Tiro		Gimnasia Jujuy

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.45	3.25	Watch
	2.45	2.65	3.2
	2.68	2.52	3.1	Watch
	2.89	2.53	3.43
	2.92	2.27	3.56	Watch
	2.63	2.63	3
	2.63	2.42	3.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.92)	2.5 ↑ (2.05)	3.26 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Tiro
34.4%

Draw
37.2%

Gimnasia Jujuy
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

45.5%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

46.7%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Tiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Gimnasia Jujuy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimnasia Jujuy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnasia Jujuy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gimnasia y Tiro - Gimnasia Jujuy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cosentino F. (G) 4. Tallura A. 2. Guanini M. 6. Soto G. 3. Montoya L. 8. Montoya W. 5. Sivetti F. 10. Rinaldi N. 11. Villarreal R. 7. Rocca J. 9. Contin N.	1. Alvarez M. (G) 4. Lopez D. 2. Cosaro G. 6. Dematei N. 3. Lazarte M. 8. Gallardo D. 5. Soria H. 10. Molina F. 7. Pombo C. 9. Arganaraz A. 11. Menendez C.
Substitutes
15. Aguirre J. 18. Banega T. 14. Birge M. 16. Capano J. 13. Diaz G. 17. Galetto J. 20. Gordillo J. 12. Papaleo J. (G) 19. Rojas F.	20. Bianchi O. 18. Cachi M. 19. Casa M. 14. Endrizzi E. 17. Franzoni J. 12. Gomez G. (G) 15. Maidana F. 16. Paradela F. 13. Varela J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Rocca J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rocca J. ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
46', Villarreal R. ↓, Rojas F. ↑,
54', Molina F. 🟨,
56', Montoya L. 🟨,
59', Pombo C. ↓, Paradela F. ↑,
59', Arganaraz A. ↓, Cachi M. ↑,
65', Rinaldi N. ↓, Birge M. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Gallardo D. ⚽, Molina F. (A),
90', 1 - 1, Birge M. ⚽, Guanini M. (A),
90+7', Birge M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )).

Gimnasia y Tiro is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Gimnasia Jujuy has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gimnasia y Tiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia y Tiro won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia y Tiro won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.05.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - San Martín de Tucumán	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Agropecuario Argentino	2:3 ✺
Copa Argentina
30.04.26	Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.04.26	Tristán Suárez - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLL
- Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.05.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Temperley	1:0 ✺
12.05.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Maipú	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Club Almagro	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.09.24	Gimnasia Jujuy - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0
21.04.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:0
Club Friendly
21.01.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:0
12.01.24	Gimnasia Jujuy - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0

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