Match Info

Date: 2 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Fifth Third Bank Stadium (Kennesaw)

Referee: Carlos Rivero J. (Usa)


	Atlanta United II		El Paso Locomotive

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.8	1.65
	4.75	3.75	1.58
	4.4	3.8	1.58
	4.89	3.82	1.67
	4.65	4.1	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↓ (4.69)	3.85 ↓ (3.94)	1.61 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta United II
20%

Draw
23.6%

El Paso Locomotive
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

23.3%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

23.2%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta United II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	18.2%	45.5%

Atlanta United II - El Paso Locomotive Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Atlanta United II will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). El Paso will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for El Paso: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Atlanta United II has the most likely position - 13 (28.62%), has project points - 28, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

El Paso has the most likely position - 6 (17.43%), has project points - 51, has currently - 29, has a good chance of playoffs (73%), has a chance of qtrs (36%), has a small chance of semis (15%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

This event has small quality 10, small importance 12, small match rating 11. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Atlanta United II is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

El Paso is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match El Paso is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta United II
USL Championship
29.06.22	Charleston Battery - Atlanta United II	3:4 ✺
25.06.22	Oakland Roots - Atlanta United II	3:1 ✺
18.06.22	Atlanta United II - Hartford Athletic	0:3 ✺
11.06.22	Atlanta United II - Loudoun United	2:0 ✺
04.06.22	Memphis 901 - Atlanta United II	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLWL
- El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship
29.06.22	Rio Grande Valley - El Paso Locomotive	0:0 ✺
25.06.22	El Paso Locomotive - New York Red Bulls 2	5:0 ✺
18.06.22	Detroit City - El Paso Locomotive	1:1 ✺
11.06.22	Phoenix Rising - El Paso Locomotive	0:1 ✺
04.06.22	El Paso Locomotive - Hartford Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWTWT

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