Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 10 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Keyworth Stadium (Hamtramck, MI)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Detroit City		El Paso Locomotive

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.50	3.60
	1.86	3.40	3.60
	1.88	4.06	3.83
	1.83	4.08	3.61	Watch
	1.83	3.40	3.60
	1.76	3.74	3.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.88)	3.7 ↑ (3.47)	3.68 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Detroit City
50.3%

Draw
24.8%

El Paso Locomotive
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

26.4%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

26.1%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Detroit City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

The chances for El Paso Locomotive have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Detroit City - El Paso Locomotive Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Detroit City will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrera C. (G) 14. Yamazaki H. 30. Amoo-Mensah D. (C) 4. Montgomery C. 3. Stanley A. 22. Hernandez-Foster K. 8. Diop A. 11. Rutz C. 18. Etaka P. 32. Diouf A. 9. Morris B.	1. Mora-Mora S. (G) 2. Cardona N. 21. Twumasi K. 93. Tony Alfaro 29. Hoban K. 6. Calvillo E. 13. Avila R. 16. Gabriel Torres 19. Mendez A. 10. Moreno A. 14. Rubin R.
Substitutes
15. Dalou A. 20. Hope-Gund R. 17. Rafa Mentzingen 91. Saldana C. (G) 33. Silva T. 7. Smith D. 6. Williams R.	23. Diaz G. 5. Gomez D. 74. Guzman A. 28. Mora O. 18. Quezada A. 78. Rede X. 99. Romero A. (G) 12. Ruiz R.
Coaches
Dichio D.	Gonzalez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Yamazaki H. 🟨,
30', Stanley A. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Moreno A. ⚽, Calvillo E. (A),
44', Mendez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rutz C. ↓, Smith D. ↑,
46', Hoban K. ↓, Quezada A. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Diop A. ⚽, Etaka P. (A),
56', Moreno A. ↓, Mora O. ↑,
65', Morris B. ↓, Rafa Mentzingen ↑,
65', Etaka P. ↓, Dalou A. ↑,
65', Avila R. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
69', Calvillo E. 🟨,
77', Mendez A. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
77', Calvillo E. ↓, Ruiz R. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In recent matches, Detroit City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

El Paso has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

El Paso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Detroit City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Detroit City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Detroit City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Detroit City FC
USL Cup
06.06.26	Detroit City - Lexington	1:2 penalties ✺
USL Championship
30.05.26	Charleston Battery - Detroit City	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Loudoun United - Detroit City	0:0 ✺
20.05.26	Detroit City - Miami	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	Forward Madison - Detroit City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTWW
- El Paso Locomotive
USL Cup
06.06.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - El Paso Locomotive	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
30.05.26	El Paso Locomotive - Lexington	1:4 ✺
USL Cup
27.05.26	El Paso Locomotive - AV Alta	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
09.05.26	Oakland Roots - El Paso Locomotive	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
07.09.24	El Paso Locomotive - Detroit City	0:0
18.03.23	El Paso Locomotive - Detroit City	1:3
18.06.22	Detroit City - El Paso Locomotive	1:1

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