Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Wild Horse Pass Stadium (Chandler, AZ)

Referee: Berna Rico S. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Phoenix Rising		El Paso Locomotive

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.10	3.40	2.80
	2.08	3.4	3.05
	2.11	3.65	3.36
	2.19	3.63	2.97	Watch
	2.08	3.55	3.3
	2.12	3.62	3.1	Watch
	2.08	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.06)	3.54 ↓ (3.63)	3.08 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Phoenix Rising
43.9%

Draw
26.2%

El Paso Locomotive
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

25.6%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

26.6%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Phoenix Rising - El Paso Locomotive Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rakovsky P. (G) 20. Biasi L. 51. Essengue A. 5. Czichos R. 87. Flores D. 13. Moursou J. 17. JP Scearce (C) 70. Torres J. 8. Gomez D. 19. Rivera D. 23. Badji D.	4. Pedro Cruz (G) 15. Dollenmayer N. 8. Sainte C. 93. Tony Alfaro 2. Cardona N. 30. Coronado R. 6. Calvillo E. (C) 16. Gabriel Torres 19. Mendez A. 14. Rubin R. 10. Moreno A.
Substitutes
28. Arase K. 47. Cross N. 68. Irwin J. 4. Mar Boye P. 14. Odunze C. (G) 24. Pelayo A. 7. Sacko I. 48. Schmitt T. 11. Studenhofft G.	13. Avila R. 23. Diaz G. 11. Farkarlun B. 5. Gomez D. 29. Hoban K. 28. Mora O. 99. Romero A. (G) 12. Ruiz R.
Coaches
Kah P.	Gonzalez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Tony Alfaro 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Rubin R. ⚽, Moreno A. (A),
23', Dollenmayer N. 🟨,
27', Torres J. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Czichos R. ⚽, JP Scearce (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', Moursou J. 🟨,
51', 1 - 2, Calvillo E. ⚽, Cardona N. (A),
63', Coronado R. 🟨,
66', Gomez D. ↓, Sacko I. ↑,
66', Rivera D. ↓, Arase K. ↑,
67', Cardona N. 🟨,
72', Moreno A. ↓, Avila R. ↑,
72', Mendez A. ↓, Farkarlun B. ↑,
72', Coronado R. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
76', Flores D. ↓, Schmitt T. ↑,
76', Badji D. ↓, Studenhofft G. ↑,
78', Biasi L. 🟨,
80', Biasi L. 🟨,
83', Czichos R. ↓, Pelayo A. ↑,
86', Sainte C. ↓, Hoban K. ↑,
90+2', Calvillo E. ↓, Ruiz R. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 3, Rubin R. ⚽, Hoban K. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 2.

Phoenix Rising is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

El Paso is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Phoenix Rising may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Phoenix Rising is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Phoenix Rising has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:19 (averaging 2.1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Phoenix Rising against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 17:7 goals (averaging 2.4:1 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phoenix Rising
USL Championship
12.09.26	Phoenix Rising - Tulsa	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Monterey Bay - Phoenix Rising	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Phoenix Rising - Indy Eleven	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising	2:2 ✺
19.08.26	Phoenix Rising - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWTW
- El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship
12.09.26	Louisville City - El Paso Locomotive	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	El Paso Locomotive - Loudoun United	4:1 ✺
26.08.26	El Paso Locomotive - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - El Paso Locomotive	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	San Antonio - El Paso Locomotive	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
13.06.26	El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising	1:1
01.11.25	El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising	0:1
30.08.25	Phoenix Rising - El Paso Locomotive	3:3
USL Cup
19.07.25	El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising	2:3 penalties
USL Championship
15.03.25	El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising	4:4
19.07.24	Phoenix Rising - El Paso Locomotive	2:0
15.06.24	El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising	1:1

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