Match Info

Date: 25 June 2022, Saturday

Location: Laney College Football Stadium (Oakland)

Referee: Corbyn M. (Usa)


	Oakland Roots		Atlanta United II

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.36	4.8	6.25	Watch
	1.33	4.9	6.5
	1.34	4.7	6.2
	1.35	5.29	7.43
	1.32	5.2	7.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.41)	4.98 ↓ (5)	6.74 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oakland Roots
68.1%

Draw
18.3%

Atlanta United II
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

18.1%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

16.6%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oakland Roots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Atlanta United II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Oakland Roots - Atlanta United II Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Oakland Roots will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Atlanta United II will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oakland Roots: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 12).

Oakland Roots has the most likely position - 9 (14.49%), has project points - 43, has currently - 21, has a chance of playoffs (28%), has a small chance of qtrs (11%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Atlanta United II has the most likely position - 13 (29.94%), has project points - 26, has currently - 10, has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has very small quality 9, small importance 10, small match rating 10. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Oakland Roots is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlanta United II is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlanta United II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Atlanta United II have a series of home games.

In this match Oakland Roots is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oakland Roots
USL Championship
18.06.22	San Antonio - Oakland Roots	1:1 ✺
15.06.22	Oakland Roots - New Mexico United	1:2 ✺
11.06.22	Oakland Roots - Rio Grande Valley	2:2 ✺
04.06.22	Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots	0:2 ✺
01.06.22	Oakland Roots - Orange County SC	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TLTWW
- Atlanta United II
USL Championship
18.06.22	Atlanta United II - Hartford Athletic	0:3 ✺
11.06.22	Atlanta United II - Loudoun United	2:0 ✺
04.06.22	Memphis 901 - Atlanta United II	5:2 ✺
01.06.22	Atlanta United II - Rio Grande Valley	3:4 ✺
27.05.22	Atlanta United II - Orange County SC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLLT

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