Match Info

Date: 18 June 2022, Saturday

Location: Fifth Third Bank Stadium (Kennesaw)

Referee: Simon N. (Usa)


	Atlanta United II		Hartford Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.35
	2.55	3.25	2.45
	2.44	3.5	2.35
	2.63	3.62	2.45
	2.53	3.72	2.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.42)	3.52 ↑ (3.39)	2.39 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta United II
36.1%

Draw
25.9%

Hartford Athletic
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

26.7%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

26%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta United II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Atlanta United II - Hartford Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Atlanta United II will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Hartford will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 12).

Atlanta United II has the most likely position - 13 (22.28%), has project points - 29, has currently - 10, has a very small chance of playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Hartford has the most likely position - 10 (20.39%), has project points - 36, has currently - 9, has a small chance of playoffs (12%), has a very small chance of qtrs (4%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has very small quality 9, very small importance 7, very small match rating 8. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Atlanta United II is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hartford is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlanta United II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Atlanta United II won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlanta United II won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta United II
USL Championship
11.06.22	Atlanta United II - Loudoun United	2:0 ✺
04.06.22	Memphis 901 - Atlanta United II	5:2 ✺
01.06.22	Atlanta United II - Rio Grande Valley	3:4 ✺
27.05.22	Atlanta United II - Orange County SC	0:0 ✺
21.05.22	Detroit City - Atlanta United II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLTL
- Hartford Athletic
USL Championship
15.06.22	Hartford Athletic - Memphis 901	1:1 ✺
11.06.22	San Diego Loyal - Hartford Athletic	3:0 ✺
04.06.22	El Paso Locomotive - Hartford Athletic	1:1 ✺
28.05.22	Hartford Athletic - Phoenix Rising	1:2 ✺
14.05.22	Hartford Athletic - New York Red Bulls 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
02.04.22	Hartford Athletic - Atlanta United II	1:2
24.08.19	Hartford Athletic - Atlanta United II	3:2
09.03.19	Atlanta United II - Hartford Athletic	2:0

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