Match Info

Date: 27 May 2022, Friday

Location: Fifth Third Bank Stadium (Kennesaw)

Referee: Nichols A. (Usa)


	Atlanta United II		Orange County SC

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.75	Watch
	4.1	3.75	1.65
	3.85	3.6	1.73
	3.81	3.78	1.86
	4.4	3.7	1.63
	3.9	3.8	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↓ (4.61)	3.69 ↓ (4.1)	1.73 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta United II
22.8%

Draw
24.7%

Orange County SC
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

22.7%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

22.2%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta United II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orange County SC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	27.3%	54.5%

Atlanta United II - Orange County SC Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Atlanta United II will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Orange County SC will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Orange County SC: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 11).

Atlanta United II has the most likely position - 13 (22.51%), has project points - 28, has currently - 6, has a very small chance of playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Orange County SC has the most likely position - 7 (12.05%), has project points - 49, has currently - 13, has a good chance of playoffs (55%), has a chance of qtrs (27%), has a small chance of semis (12%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has small quality 10, small importance 13, small match rating 11. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Atlanta United II has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Orange County SC is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Orange County SC could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Orange County SC is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Orange County SC to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta United II
USL Championship
21.05.22	Detroit City - Atlanta United II	3:1 ✺
04.05.22	Atlanta United II - Louisville City	0:4 ✺
23.04.22	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Atlanta United II	4:0 ✺
16.04.22	Indy Eleven - Atlanta United II	2:1 ✺
09.04.22	Atlanta United II - Detroit City	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Orange County SC
USL Championship
21.05.22	Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive	2:2 ✺
13.05.22	Orange County SC - Tulsa	5:1 ✺
07.05.22	Orange County SC - Oakland Roots	2:2 ✺
30.04.22	Rio Grande Valley - Orange County SC	1:2 ✺
24.04.22	Indy Eleven - Orange County SC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWTWL

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