Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Championship Soccer Stadium (Irvine, CA)

Referee: Kaleia M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Orange County SC		Tulsa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.30	3.25	2.60
	2.35	3.2	2.75
	2.58	3.47	2.75
	2.49	3.44	2.65	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.6
	2.44	3.28	2.53	Watch
	2.44	3.3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.35)	3.33 ↑ (3.23)	2.64 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orange County SC
37.6%

Draw
27.6%

Tulsa
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

28.5%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

28.1%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (-2%)

Orange County SC - Tulsa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rando A. (G) 15. Espy T. 5. Brewitt T. (C) 6. Tubbs G. 4. Benalcazar N. 12. Bazini Y. 14. Cambridge B. 25. Solis E. 27. Kelly S. 8. Sylla O. 9. Zubak E.	28. Jacomen D. (G) 44. Sangwa J. 98. Ian 91. Cissoko A. (C) 4. Pierre D. 12. Stauffer L. 20. Colli G. 8. Webber J. 13. Kocevski J. 9. Ordonez A. 7. Cabral R.
Substitutes
20. Bunbury M. 30. Castro J. 23. Doghman R. 10. Hegardt C. 31. Kadono T. (G) 11. MacKinnon L. 29. Nelson E. 28. O'Brien F. 18. Palomino M.	25. Clarke A. 14. Dorsey L. 23. Eisner W. 10. Elmedkhar K. 22. Lukic S. 1. Tambakis A. (G) 66. Wilson W.
Coaches
Stone D.	Spencer L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Ordonez A. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Ordonez A. ⚽,
28', Sangwa J. 🟨,
33', Kocevski J. 🟨,
39', Webber J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Zubak E. ↓, Hegardt C. ↑,
46', Solis E. ↓, Doghman R. ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Hegardt C. ⚽, Espy T. (A),
55', 1 - 3, Ordonez A. ⚽, Ian (A),
62', Cambridge B. ↓, MacKinnon L. ↑,
63', Cabral R. ↓, Dorsey L. ↑,
63', Ordonez A. ↓, Elmedkhar K. ↑,
63', Sangwa J. ↓, Eisner W. ↑,
68', Tubbs G. 🟨,
69', 1 - 4, Pierre D. ⚽,
69', Espy T. ↓, Palomino M. ↑,
72', 1 - 5, Dorsey L. ⚽, Colli G. (A),
78', Sylla O. ↓, Bunbury M. ↑,
86', Colli G. ↓, Wilson W. ↑,
87', Pierre D. ↓, Clarke A. ↑,
90+3', Wilson W. 🟨,
90+4', Cissoko A. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 1.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 2.4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orange County SC
USL Championship
15.08.26	Orange County SC - Louisville City	2:3 ✺
08.08.26	Orange County SC - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:3 ✺
01.08.26	Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Monterey Bay - Orange County SC	1:2 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Orange County SC - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWWL
- FC Tulsa
USL Championship
15.08.26	New Mexico United - Tulsa	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Tulsa - Detroit City	0:1 ✺
05.08.26	Tulsa - Sacramento Republic	1:0 ✺
29.07.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tulsa	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Tulsa - Lexington	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
11.04.26	Tulsa - Orange County SC	0:1
23.08.25	Tulsa - Orange County SC	1:0
03.05.25	Orange County SC - Tulsa	2:1
09.08.24	Tulsa - Orange County SC	0:0
30.03.24	Orange County SC - Tulsa	1:0
17.06.23	Tulsa - Orange County SC	0:3
13.05.22	Orange County SC - Tulsa	5:1

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