Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 9 July 2023, Sunday

Location: H-E-B Park (Edinburg)

Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)


	Rio Grande Valley		Orange County SC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.25	2.87
	2.08	3.45	3.1
	2.25	3.4	3.08
	2.17	3.35	3.06	Watch
	2.22	3.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.97)	3.37 ↓ (3.43)	3 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Grande Valley
42.2%

Draw
27.2%

Orange County SC
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

26.4%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

26.9%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Grande Valley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Rio Grande Valley - Orange County SC Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rio Grande Valley will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Orange County SC will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Deric T. (G) 3. Ackwei W. 4. Pimentel E. 15. Nodarse F. 2. Ricketts J. 8. Davila T. 16. Coronado R. 20. Ritondale T. 13. Cabrera W. 10. Pinzon C. 23. Francois C.	20. Shutler C. (G) 2. Lambe O. 30. Nakkim M. 5. Powers D. 23. Doghman R. 18. Osundina K. 8. Casiple S. 19. Partida K. 26. Scott K. 7. Iloski M. 9. McNulty M.
Substitutes
6. Benitez G. 17. Cerro I. 11. Galindrez J. 19. Kinzner E. 9. Lopez F. 21. Merancio C. (G) 12. Ruiz R.	15. Chattha A. 6. Fox A. 10. Iloski B. 11. Jamieson B. 35. Norris B. 29. Santana J. (G) 3. Villanueva A.
Coaches
Cabrera W.	Karlsen M.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rio Grande Valley won 2.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Rio Grande Valley will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Rio Grande Valley won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Rio Grande Valley won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
USL Championship
01.07.23	Sacramento Republic - Rio Grande Valley	1:1 ✺
28.06.23	Oakland Roots - Rio Grande Valley	0:2 ✺
21.06.23	Rio Grande Valley - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:0 ✺
17.06.23	New Mexico United - Rio Grande Valley	2:2 ✺
10.06.23	Rio Grande Valley - Miami	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 TWWTT
- Orange County SC
USL Championship
01.07.23	Orange County SC - Monterey Bay	3:1 ✺
24.06.23	Detroit City - Orange County SC	0:1 ✺
17.06.23	Tulsa - Orange County SC	0:3 ✺
10.06.23	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Orange County SC	4:0 ✺
03.06.23	Orange County SC - Rio Grande Valley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
03.06.23	Orange County SC - Rio Grande Valley	2:0
30.04.22	Rio Grande Valley - Orange County SC	1:2
19.03.22	Orange County SC - Rio Grande Valley	2:1
17.07.21	Orange County SC - Rio Grande Valley	0:2
28.09.19	Rio Grande Valley - Orange County SC	2:0
01.06.19	Orange County SC - Rio Grande Valley	2:1
25.08.18	Orange County SC - Rio Grande Valley	0:2

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