Match Info

Date: 3 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Fifth Third Bank Stadium (Kennesaw)

Referee: Calume A. (Usa)


	Atlanta United II		Tulsa

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.6	1.85
	3.25	3.85	1.84
	3.25	3.65	1.86
	3.43	4.15	1.88
	3.6	3.75	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↓ (3.55)	3.8 ↓ (4.1)	1.85 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta United II
26.8%

Draw
23.9%

Tulsa
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

22.3%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

22.2%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta United II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Atlanta United II - Tulsa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Atlanta United II will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Tulsa will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Atlanta United II has the most likely position - 13 (51.38%), has project points - 21, has currently - 16, has not chance of playoffs.

Tulsa has the most likely position - 8 (71.93%), has project points - 43, has currently - 34, has a very small chance of playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of qtrs (1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has very small quality 8, very small importance 3, very small match rating 5. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Atlanta United II has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tulsa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlanta United II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tulsa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Tulsa to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlanta United II won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlanta United II won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta United II
USL Championship
27.08.22	Atlanta United II - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:2 ✺
20.08.22	Loudoun United - Atlanta United II	3:1 ✺
13.08.22	Atlanta United II - Miami	0:2 ✺
09.08.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Atlanta United II	2:1 ✺
06.08.22	Birmingham Legion - Atlanta United II	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Tulsa
USL Championship
27.08.22	Tulsa - Loudoun United	2:1 ✺
24.08.22	Tulsa - Hartford Athletic	1:2 ✺
20.08.22	Tulsa - Indy Eleven	1:0 ✺
10.08.22	Miami - Tulsa	1:2 ✺
30.07.22	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tulsa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
09.07.22	Tulsa - Atlanta United II	2:1
20.10.21	Tulsa - Atlanta United II	4:0
28.08.21	Tulsa - Atlanta United II	3:1
28.07.21	Atlanta United II - Tulsa	2:1
19.05.21	Atlanta United II - Tulsa	5:0

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