Match Info

Date: 20 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Segra Field (Leesburg)

Referee: Billeter A. (Usa)


	Loudoun United		Atlanta United II

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.75	3.2	Watch
	1.85	3.9	3.2
	1.81	3.65	3.4
	1.86	4.24	3.43
	1.8	3.88	3.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.81)	3.88 ↓ (4.3)	3.35 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loudoun United
49.4%

Draw
23.4%

Atlanta United II
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

21.5%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

20.9%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Atlanta United II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Loudoun United - Atlanta United II Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Loudoun will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Atlanta United II will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Loudoun has the most likely position - 12 (30.83%), has project points - 27, has currently - 18, has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Atlanta United II has the most likely position - 13 (46.17%), has project points - 23, has currently - 16, has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has very small quality 6, very small importance 0, very small match rating 3. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Loudoun is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlanta United II has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atlanta United II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Loudoun will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Loudoun won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Loudoun won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loudoun United
USL Championship
10.08.22	San Antonio - Loudoun United	2:1 ✺
06.08.22	Loudoun United - LA Galaxy II	2:0 ✺
30.07.22	Loudoun United - Monterey Bay	0:1 ✺
27.07.22	Birmingham Legion - Loudoun United	6:1 ✺
23.07.22	Loudoun United - Miami	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL
- Atlanta United II
USL Championship
13.08.22	Atlanta United II - Miami	0:2 ✺
09.08.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Atlanta United II	2:1 ✺
06.08.22	Birmingham Legion - Atlanta United II	6:0 ✺
30.07.22	Atlanta United II - Las Vegas Lights	1:1 ✺
23.07.22	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Atlanta United II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
11.06.22	Atlanta United II - Loudoun United	2:0
02.08.19	Atlanta United II - Loudoun United	4:2
28.06.19	Loudoun United - Atlanta United II	2:1

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