Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday

Location: ONEOK Field (Tulsa, OK)

Referee: May C. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Tulsa		Loudoun United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.4	2.8
	1.82	3.75	3.6
	1.87	4.09	3.87
	2.12	3.67	3.08	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.2
	1.78	3.84	3.86	Watch
	1.8	3.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.87)	3.7 ↑ (3.59)	3.57 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tulsa
49%

Draw
25.1%

Loudoun United
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

25.7%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

24.8%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Tulsa - Loudoun United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tulsa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Tulsa (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tulsa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Penaranda J. (G) 4. Pierre D. 91. Cissoko A. 2. Damm O. 47. St.Clair H. 26. Colli G. 5. Marcos Serrato 6. Diallo B. 21. Dalou A. 9. Calheira T. 10. Elmedkhar K.	23. Fauroux H. (G) 3. Tingey K. 5. Leerman Y. 16. Turner C. 6. Awuah K. 17. Santos P. 12. Skundrich D. (C) 4. McCabe T. 11. Aboukoura A. 15. Bidois R. 10. Valot F.
Substitutes
7. Amann T. 15. Batista L. 1. Creek M. (G) 37. Goldthorp E. 22. Lukic S. 20. Seagrist P. 12. Stauffer L.	22. Dambrot R. 30. Jack R. (G) 20. Mines B. 13. Nagy A. 8. Nyeman M. 14. Ryan Z.
Coaches
Spencer L.	Martin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Bidois R. ⚽, Awuah K. (A),
21', Damm O. 🟨,
25', Diallo B. 🟨,
41', Bidois R. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Calheira T. ⚽, Damm O. (A),
45+3', St.Clair H. 🟨,
45+4', Pierre D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', Bidois R. ↓, Ryan Z. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Leerman Y. ⚽, Turner C. (A),
72', Diallo B. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
72', Dalou A. ↓, Batista L. ↑,
72', Elmedkhar K. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
76', St.Clair H. ↓, Stauffer L. ↑,
79', Aboukoura A. ↓, Dambrot R. ↑,
79', Santos P. ↓, Mines B. ↑,
79', Damm O. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑,
80', Batista L. 🟨,
84', 2 - 2, Lukic S. ⚽,
85', Tingey K. 🟨,
86', Cissoko A. 🟨,
90+3', Mines B. ↓, Nyeman M. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 2, Colli G. ⚽,
90+6', Colli G. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Tulsa is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tulsa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tulsa
USL Cup
26.07.25	Indy Eleven - Tulsa	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
19.07.25	Louisville City - Tulsa	1:1 ✺
16.07.25	Tulsa - Monterey Bay	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights	4:3 ✺
05.07.25	Miami - Tulsa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTWWT
- Loudoun United
USL Cup
26.07.25	North Carolina - Loudoun United	2:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
19.07.25	Loudoun United - Oakland Roots	0:2 ✺
13.07.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Loudoun United	2:2 ✺
03.07.25	Loudoun United - Orange County SC	0:0 ✺
USL Cup
28.06.25	Loudoun United - Charlotte Independence	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
01.06.24	Loudoun United - Tulsa	3:0
09.06.23	Loudoun United - Tulsa	3:1
25.03.23	Tulsa - Loudoun United	3:0
27.08.22	Tulsa - Loudoun United	2:1
03.07.22	Loudoun United - Tulsa	2:2

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