The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Miami 37.7%
Draw 27.1%
Tulsa 35.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.4%
28.4%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.1%
27.2%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami's performance.
Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tulsa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tulsa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Miami - Tulsa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Hamid B. (G) 2. Ricketts J. 13. Knutson D. 21. Akinyode B. 3. Mitrano A. 5. Mercado Carrizo D. A. 8. Romero M. 26. Melano L. 10. Blanco S. (C) 30. Vazquez C. 9. Bonfiglio F.
99. Penaranda J. (G) 47. St.Clair H. 14. Rogers A. 91. Cissoko A. (C) 12. Stauffer L. 5. Marcos Serrato 6. Diallo B. 26. Colli G. 21. Dalou A. 9. Calheira T. 2. Damm O.
Substitutes
34. Arana V. 4. Cardona N. 22. Celeste F. 16. Diaz G. 29. Hoyos K. 33. Lucas DePaula 12. Martell R. (G) 11. Veron D. 18. Zarate T.
77. Bettache F. 10. Elmedkhar K. 37. Goldthorp E. 39. Johnson C. (G) 22. Lukic S. 20. Seagrist P. 8. Webber J.
Coaches
Maddoni G.
Spencer L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Calheira T. (Pen),
17', 1 - 1, Bonfiglio F. (Pen),
36', Vazquez C. 🟨,
38', Dalou A. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑,
45+1', 1 - 2, Goldthorp E. ⚽, St.Clair H. (A),
45+2', Marcos Serrato 🟨,
45+5', Romero M. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Akinyode B. 🟨,
56', St.Clair H. 🟨,
60', Blanco S. ↓, Hoyos K. ↑,
62', Colli G. ↓, Webber J. ↑,
62', St.Clair H. ↓, Seagrist P. ↑,
62', Calheira T. ↓, Elmedkhar K. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Bonfiglio F. ⚽,
68', Melano L. ↓, Veron D. ↑,
68', Vazquez C. ↓, Cardona N. ↑,
81', Stauffer L. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
86', Cissoko A. 🟨,
87', Bonfiglio F. ↓, Zarate T. ↑,
89', Mitrano A. 🟨,
90+2', Cardona N. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Miami has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).