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Current Win Probability
Atlantis Helsinki 71.6%
Draw 15.1%
HPS 13.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.6%
18%
20.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.3%
17.2%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlantis Helsinki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlantis Helsinki's performance.
HPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HPS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlantis Helsinki than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlantis Helsinki that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPS than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HPS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlantis Helsinki - HPS Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Manadir R. (G) 94. Ajunwoko C. 10. Bekhedda M. 45. Hussein A. 31. Koivuharju R. 7. Kouakou K. 16. Luht C. 27. Nyemb F. 3. Riikonen P. 20. Salau S. 19. Sidi Yakoub A.
32. Saarto P. (G) 37. Alatalo A. 21. Boughrara H. 5. Immonen N. 12. Kajanoja K. 20. Lindstrom A. 2. Merilainen K. 10. Rekola B. 19. Saukkonen J. 7. Simonov I. 49. Tusa K.
Substitutes
26. Boulakhras A. 88. El Safa A. A. 37. Landu J. 22. Munoz A. 24. Nworah D.
1. Hallikainen L. (G) 33. Kuusniemi T. 46. Lamberg E. 14. Lilja S. 4. Niskanen M. 22. Omar A. 24. Sipola J. 25. Tamminen J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Nyemb F. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Ajunwoko C. ⚽,
34', 3 - 0, Bekhedda M. ⚽,
35', Rekola B. 🟨,
44', Tusa K. 🟨,
45', 4 - 0, Nyemb F. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', Boughrara H. ↓, Hallikainen L. ↑,
60', Lindstrom A. ↓, Omar A. ↑,
66', 4 - 1, Omar A. ⚽,
68', 4 - 2, Rekola B. ⚽,
70', Rekola B. ↓, Niskanen M. ↑,
70', Alatalo A. ↓, Sipola J. ↑,
70', Koivuharju R. ↓, Nworah D. ↑,
71', Nyemb F. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
74', Riikonen P. 🟨,
77', Saukkonen J. 🟨,
83', Immonen N. ↓, Lamberg E. ↑,
83', Kajanoja K. 🟨,
Preview
Atlantis has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
HPS has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
The betting markets point to Atlantis as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Atlantis has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 14:7 (averaging 4.7:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlantis against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:3 goals.