The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlas 24.8%
Draw 24.8%
Club León 50.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
21.1%
23.8%
55.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.2%
22.8%
57.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Club León has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club León than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Club León could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlas - Club León Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Vazquez C. (G) 23. Penuna V. 3. Saravia L. 5. Delgado V. 28. Quintos B. (C) 6. Acevedo V. 13. Maldonado M. 7. Flores K. 9. Villalobos N. 26. Stephens S. 11. Munoz S.
23. Acuna N. S. (G) 34. Aleman V. 4. Lozada A. 17. Pinilla F. 30. Esquivias I. 7. De La Rosa J. 6. Razo V. 15. Soto K. (C) 10. Lemos S. 2. Garcia M. 9. Bolanos V.
Substitutes
1. Contreras K. (G) 17. Lopez A. 19. Lopez K. 29. Martinez A. 25. Meza D. 14. Ramirez C. 20. Vlassopoulos E.
27. Aleman I. 3. Arias D. 11. Arteaga S. 33. Barrientos Y. 1. Buenfil N. R. (G) 22. Cortes S. 5. Gutierrez D. 29. Jasso K. 12. Lien Le C. 16. Rausch Tamayo M. A.
Coaches
Alfaro J.
Corona A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Villalobos N. ↓, Vlassopoulos E. ↑,
25', 0 - 1, Lemos S. ⚽, Bolanos V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Acevedo V. 🟨,
64', Vlassopoulos E. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
64', Flores K. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
68', Maldonado M. 🟨,
70', Garcia M. ↓, Arteaga S. ↑,
70', Bolanos V. ↓, Aleman I. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Maldonado M. ⚽, Munoz S. (A),
81', De La Rosa J. ↓, Lien Le C. ↑,
81', Pinilla F. ↓, Rausch Tamayo M. A. ↑,
81', Acevedo V. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
81', Munoz S. ↓, Lopez K. ↑,
90+2', Esquivias I. ↓, Barrientos Y. ↑,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 5th and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 0.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
León may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, León has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to León for this game.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Atlas has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:28 (averaging 1.6:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlas against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:16 goals (averaging 1.4:2 per game).