The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlas 42.2%
Draw 27.4%
Club León 30.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.5%
27.3%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
26.9%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlas's form might have worsened.
Club León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Club León's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club León than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Club León, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlas - Club León Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Vazquez C. (G) 6. Acevedo V. 11. Ceren B. 2. Delgado D. (C) 7. Flores K. 8. Huerta A. 14. Huerta R. F. T. 13. Maldonado M. 25. Meza D. 9. Munoz S. 5. Sainz M.
23. Acuna N. S. (G) 33. Barrientos Y. 8. Bravo L. R. 14. Camargo A. 18. Carter T. 22. Cortes S. 17. Pinilla F. 26. Ramirez A. 16. Rausch Tamayo M. A. (C) 15. Soto K. 21. Villanueva A.
Substitutes
33. Aguilar N. 24. Cardona A. 1. Contreras K. (G) 16. Cruz D. 19. Fernandez K. 20. Garcia J. 21. Hernandez L. 4. Jasso I. 17. Lopez A. 22. Nalukenge J.
24. Adu B. 27. Aleman I. 34. Aleman V. 29. Jasso K. 9. Lema J. 12. Lien Le C. 4. Lozada A. 35. Mendoza A. (G) 32. Ramirez A. 6. Sanchez M.
Coaches
Medina R.
Corona A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Barrientos Y. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Huerta R. F. T. ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, Huerta R. F. T. ⚽,
39', Carter T. ↓, Lien Le C. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
54', 2 - 2, Villanueva A. ⚽,
61', Ramirez A. ↓, Sanchez M. ↑,
61', Villanueva A. ↓, Aleman I. ↑,
63', 2 - 3, Rausch Tamayo M. A. ⚽,
67', Huerta A. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
76', Munoz S. 🟨,
77', Huerta R. F. T. ↓, Nalukenge J. ↑,
77', Flores K. ↓, Fernandez K. ↑,
77', Meza D. ↓, Cruz D. ↑,
78', Delgado D. 🟨,
84', Cortes S. ↓, Aleman V. ↑,
84', Barrientos Y. ↓, Lozada A. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 4, Bravo L. R. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 0.
Atlas has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, León has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Atlas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Atlas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).
Mexico
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Vazquez C. (G) 
Ceren B. 
Flores K. 
Huerta A. 
Bravo L. R. 
Carter T. 
Pinilla F. 
Cruz D. 
Nalukenge J. 
Adu B. 
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