Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 29

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday


	Atletico Uri		Casertana

	1	X	2
	5	3.6	1.55
	5.14	3.88	1.52
	5.4	3.6	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.18 ↑ (4.22)	3.69 ↑ (3.54)	1.55 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Uri
17.4%

Draw
24.4%

Casertana
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

25.3%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

25.6%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Uri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Uri than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Casertana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs)).

Atletico Uri is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Casertana in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Casertana is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atletico Uri won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Uri
Italian Serie D - Group G
19.03.23	Pomezia - Atletico Uri	2:1 ✺
11.03.23	Atletico Uri - Arzachena	1:3 ✺
05.03.23	Real Monterotondo - Atletico Uri	5:1 ✺
25.02.23	Atletico Uri - Tivoli Calcio	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	Cassino - Atletico Uri	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL
- FC Casertana
Italian Serie D - Group G
19.03.23	Arzachena - Casertana	0:1 ✺
12.03.23	Casertana - Vis Artena	3:0 ✺
05.03.23	Tivoli Calcio - Casertana	2:3 ✺
26.02.23	Casertana - Pomezia	2:0 ✺
18.02.23	Romana - Casertana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
20.11.22	Casertana - Atletico Uri	5:3

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