Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 25

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Atlético Albericia		Velarde

	1	X	2
	1.26	5	9.25
	1.27	4.77	8.9
	1.28	4.78	8.9
	1.26	5	9.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.34)	4.89 ↑ (4.37)	9.2 ↑ (7.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Albericia
71.6%

Draw
18.6%

Velarde
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

20.6%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

16.4%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Albericia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Velarde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Albericia than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Albericia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velarde than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Velarde could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Atlético Albericia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Velarde is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Atlético Albericia is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético Albericia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Albericia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
09.03.24	Sámano - Atlético Albericia	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Atlético Albericia - Guarnizo	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Cartes - Atlético Albericia	0:1 ✺
17.02.24	Atlético Albericia - Tropezón	0:1 ✺
11.02.24	Solares-Medio Cudeyo - Atlético Albericia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLW
- Velarde CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
09.03.24	Velarde - Laredo	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Velarde - Sámano	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Guarnizo - Velarde	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Velarde - Cartes	0:2 ✺
10.02.24	Tropezón - Velarde	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
28.10.23	Velarde - Atlético Albericia	0:1

Atlético Albericia - Velarde: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide