Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 22

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday


	Guarnizo		Velarde

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.4	4.75
	1.66	3.28	4.81
	1.64	3.45	5.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.67)	3.38 ↓ (3.58)	4.88 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarnizo
54.8%

Draw
26.7%

Velarde
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

25.5%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

23.1%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarnizo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Velarde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guarnizo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velarde than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Guarnizo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Velarde is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Guarnizo is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Guarnizo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guarnizo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
17.02.24	Sámano - Guarnizo	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Guarnizo - Laredo	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Guarnizo - Cartes	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Tropezón - Guarnizo	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Solares-Medio Cudeyo - Guarnizo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWTTL
- Velarde CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
17.02.24	Velarde - Cartes	0:2 ✺
10.02.24	Tropezón - Velarde	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Velarde - Solares-Medio Cudeyo	4:1 ✺
27.01.24	Escobedo - Velarde	2:0 ✺
20.01.24	Vimenor - Velarde	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
08.10.23	Velarde - Guarnizo	0:1
19.01.19	Velarde - Guarnizo	0:1

Guarnizo - Velarde: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide