Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Atlético Albericia		Guarnizo

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.2	4.05
	1.99	3.25	3.63
	1.76	3.35	4.58	Watch
	1.8	3	4.5
	2.03	3.43	3.53
	1.96	3.2	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.67)	3.24 ↓ (3.45)	3.98 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atlético Albericia
48.5%

Draw
28.4%

Guarnizo
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

26.4%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

27.6%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Albericia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Albericia's form might have worsened.

Guarnizo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Albericia than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Albericia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Atlético Albericia - Guarnizo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
53', 0 - 1, ⚽,
57', 0 - 2, ⚽,
63', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Albericia won 1.

Atlético Albericia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guarnizo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guarnizo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Guarnizo has had a series of home games.

In this match, Atlético Albericia is the team to beat.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Atlético Albericia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Albericia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Guarnizo	5	1	1	3	6:9	-3	4
16	Atletico Albericia	5	0	1	4	3:9	-6	1

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Albericia - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 54.59%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Albericia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
01.02.26	Cayón - Atlético Albericia	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Montañas del Pas - Atlético Albericia	3:2 ✺
11.01.26	Selaya - Atlético Albericia	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Atlético Albericia - Escobedo	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Atlético Albericia - Laredo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWWT
- CD Guarnizo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
31.01.26	Guarnizo - Colindres	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Guarnizo - Laredo	2:3 ✺
10.01.26	Guarnizo - Bezana	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Torina - Guarnizo	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Guarnizo - Barquereño	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
28.09.25	Guarnizo - Atlético Albericia	1:4
25.01.25	Atlético Albericia - Guarnizo	1:3
15.09.24	Guarnizo - Atlético Albericia	3:2
02.03.24	Atlético Albericia - Guarnizo	1:2
14.10.23	Guarnizo - Atlético Albericia	1:0
14.01.23	Guarnizo - Atlético Albericia	2:3
11.09.22	Atlético Albericia - Guarnizo	1:1

Atlético Albericia - Guarnizo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide