Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Atlético Astorga		Ourense CF

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.10	2.00
	3.45	3.05	1.98
	3.51	2.95	2.24
	3.47	3.02	2.14	Watch
	3.45	2.85	2.20
	3.33	3.22	2.18
	3.45	3.15	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (3.15)	3.05 ↓ (3.1)	2.11 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Astorga
26.8%

Draw
30%

Ourense CF
43.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.4%

28.9%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

28.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Atlético Astorga - Ourense CF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 5th in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).

Atlético Astorga is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Ourense CF shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Ourense CF is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Ourense CF	8	4	1	3	8:8	0	13
13	Atl. Astorga	8	2	1	5	11:12	-1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.10.26	Atlético Astorga - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Sestao - Atlético Astorga	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Atlético Astorga - Marino de Luanco	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Basconia - Atlético Astorga	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Atlético Astorga - Portugalete	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL
- Ourense CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.10.26	Ourense CF - Arosa	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Amorebieta - Ourense CF	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Ourense CF - Eibar B	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Marino de Luanco - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Ourense CF - Basconia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TWLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.11.26	Rayo Cantabria - Atlético Astorga	✺
- Ourense CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.11.26	Bergantiños - Ourense CF	✺

Atlético Astorga - Ourense CF