Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Atlético Astorga		Ourense CF

	1	X	2
	3	3.05	2.15
	3.1	3.29	2.17	Watch
	3.02	3.16	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↓ (3.15)	3.17 ↑ (3.1)	2.17 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Astorga
29.7%

Draw
28.5%

Ourense CF
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

28.9%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

28.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Astorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Atlético Astorga - Ourense CF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 5th in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).

Recent results have been tough for Atlético Astorga (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Ourense CF is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Ourense CF is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ourense CF	5	3	1	1	5:3	2	10
16	Atl. Astorga	5	1	0	4	5:7	-2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Ourense CF - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 42.66%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.10.26	Atlético Astorga - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Sestao - Atlético Astorga	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Atlético Astorga - Marino de Luanco	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Basconia - Atlético Astorga	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Atlético Astorga - Portugalete	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL
- Ourense CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.10.26	Ourense CF - Arosa	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Amorebieta - Ourense CF	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Ourense CF - Eibar B	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Marino de Luanco - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Ourense CF - Basconia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TWLWW

Atlético Astorga - Ourense CF: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide