Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Atlético Astorga		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.90	2.45
	2.65	2.92	2.45
	2.82	2.92	2.59
	2.78	2.94	2.58	Watch
	2.75	2.8	2.5
	2.74	3.38	2.55
	2.65	2.95	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.76)	2.97 ↓ (3.3)	2.51 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Astorga
33.4%

Draw
30.5%

Amorebieta
36.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.3%

27.9%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

27.4%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Astorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+2%)

Atlético Astorga - Amorebieta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 0 - 1, Agirre ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Amorebieta	8	4	1	3	10:8	2	13
13	Atl. Astorga	8	2	1	5	11:12	-1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.09.26	Sestao - Atlético Astorga	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Atlético Astorga - Marino de Luanco	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Basconia - Atlético Astorga	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Atlético Astorga - Portugalete	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.08.26	Atlético Astorga - Atlético Palencia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.09.26	Amorebieta - Ourense CF	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Rayo Cantabria - Amorebieta	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Bergantiños - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Amorebieta - Arosa	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.08.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Amorebieta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLTL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.26	Amorebieta - UD Logroñés	✺

Atlético Astorga - Amorebieta