Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 38

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday


	Atlético Baleares		Granada B

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.6
	2.45	2.95	2.6
	2.6	3.1	2.7
	2.61	3.25	2.72
	2.59	3.29	2.67
	2.59	3.14	2.63
	2.49	3.15	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (1.96)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	2.65 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Baleares
36.1%

Draw
29.3%

Granada B
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

28.3%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

28.9%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Baleares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Baleares's form might have worsened.

Granada B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Granada B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Baleares, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada B than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Granada B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Baleares - Granada B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lario J. (G) 14. Navarro D. 15. Juanra 5. Jaume J. 3. Fornies (C) 10. Pastrana V. 21. Nana 30. Ortega D. 31. Andrews G. 16. Rodriguez D. 7. Marong N.	13. Tristan P. (G) 2. Castro R. 5. Bosch M. 4. Van Rijn N. 18. Gutierrez E. 29. Mortimer N. 20. Clavijo D. 8. Lendinez J. 10. Perez C. 7. Gonzalez M. 12. Faye S.
Substitutes
32. Alarcon M. 17. Alarcon R. 37. Bohmer C. 2. Campabadal E. 12. Gonzalez R. 36. Guerrero J. 20. Munoz P. 8. Ramon A. 33. Rivas 1. Vila R. (G) 6. Villapalos A. 4. Zalaya A.	25. Arbol F. (G) 36. Bello E. 17. Estacio X. 31. Heredia A. 19. Ibarrondo A. 9. Julito 32. Lopez H. 6. Masllorens J. 22. Osei P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', Fornies 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Pastrana V. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Van Rijn N. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gutierrez E. ↓, Ibarrondo A. ↑,
46', Mortimer N. ↓, Heredia A. ↑,
60', Andrews G. ↓, Zalaya A. ↑,
60', Ortega D. ↓, Alarcon R. ↑,
60', Fornies ↓, Ramon A. ↑,
66', 🟨,
67', Van Rijn N. 🟨,
67', Castro R. ↓, Estacio X. ↑,
67', Clavijo D. ↓, Masllorens J. ↑,
75', Perez C. ↓, Bello E. ↑,
76', Marong N. ↓, Villapalos A. ↑,
81', Bosch M. 🟨,
82', Navarro D. 🟨,
86', Nana ↓, Guerrero J. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Gonzalez M. ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Atlético Baleares is Relegated to

Granada B is Relegated to

Atlético Baleares is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Granada B is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético Baleares won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.05.24	Melilla - Atlético Baleares	2:0 ✺
12.05.24	Atlético Baleares - Linares Deportivo	3:1 ✺
05.05.24	Algeciras - Atlético Baleares	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Atlético Baleares - Intercity	1:2 ✺
21.04.24	Ceuta - Atlético Baleares	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLLL
- Granada B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.05.24	Granada B - Recreativo Huelva	2:1 ✺
12.05.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Granada B	1:0 ✺
05.05.24	Granada B - Córdoba	3:0 ✺
28.04.24	Alcoyano - Granada B	0:1 ✺
21.04.24	Granada B - San Fernando	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 41.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.11.23	Granada B - Atlético Baleares	0:2

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