Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 36

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	SportKlub


	Real Madrid Castilla		Granada B

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.8	5.75
	1.44	4.1	5.75
	1.47	4.33	6
	1.5	4.3	6.06
	1.49	4.42	6
	1.46	4.33	6.11
	1.47	4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.43)	4.18 ↓ (4.2)	5.92 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid Castilla
62.5%

Draw
22%

Granada B
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.3%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

20%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Real Madrid Castilla have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Granada B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada B than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Real Madrid Castilla - Granada B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. de Luis M. (G) 4. Carrillo A. 15. Pujol E. 16. Asencio R. 19. Lorenzo 20. Angel M. 6. Martin M. 22. Palacios C. 3. Obrador R. 10. Paz N. 9. Rodriguez A.	13. Tristan P. (G) 17. Estacio X. 34. Naasei Oppong O. 5. Bosch M. 3. Brau M. 29. Mortimer N. 20. Clavijo D. 6. Masllorens J. 14. Saenz P. 9. Julito 12. Faye S.
Substitutes
40. Andres C. 1. Canizares L. (G) 21. De Leon J. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 7. Lopez N. 5. Marvel 23. Munoz V. 25. Ramon J. 2. Tobias V. 8. Zidane T.	25. Arbol F. (G) 2. Castro R. 7. Gonzalez M. 16. Griger A. 18. Gutierrez E. 19. Ibarrondo A. 8. Lendinez J. 31. Lopez A. (G) 10. Perez C. 30. Rodelas S. 15. Sangare L. 4. Van Rijn N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', 🟨,
36', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Clavijo D. ↓, Lendinez J. ↑,
46', Mortimer N. ↓, Rodelas S. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Palacios C. ⚽,
60', Julito ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
63', Lorenzo ↓, De Leon J. ↑,
63', Palacios C. ↓, Munoz V. ↑,
70', Masllorens J. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
75', Rodriguez A. ↓, Zidane T. ↑,
78', 🟨,
82', Paz N. 🟨,
84', Saenz P. ↓, Heredia A. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Granada B is Relegated to

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Granada B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Real Madrid Castilla is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.05.24	Ibiza - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	San Fernando - Real Madrid Castilla	1:3 ✺
20.04.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Alcoyano	3:1 ✺
14.04.24	Recreativo Huelva - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Córdoba	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWLL
- Granada B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.05.24	Granada B - Córdoba	3:0 ✺
28.04.24	Alcoyano - Granada B	0:1 ✺
21.04.24	Granada B - San Fernando	5:0 ✺
14.04.24	Castellón - Granada B	3:0 ✺
07.04.24	Granada B - Mérida AD	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.12.23	Granada B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1

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