Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 23

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ciudad Deportiva del Granada (Granada) 🌤️ ...


	Granada B		San Fernando

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.85	2.75
	2.62	2.87	2.97
	2.58	2.9	2.81	Watch
	2.54	2.96	2.79
	2.6	2.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (3.07)	2.89 ↓ (3)	2.81 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada B
35.5%

Draw
31.8%

San Fernando
32.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.6%

30.3%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

29.1%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Granada B's performance.

San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Fernando might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada B than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Granada B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Fernando could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Granada B - San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Granada B won 3.

Granada B has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

San Fernando is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's San Fernando to win the game is with odds 2.72.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Granada B won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22:12 (average 1.7:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Granada B won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:2 (average 1.8:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.02.25	Almeria B - Granada B	3:1 ✺
02.02.25	Granada B - Antoniano	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	La Unión - Granada B	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Xerez CD - Granada B	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Granada B - Linares Deportivo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.02.25	San Fernando - Linares Deportivo	3:3 ✺
02.02.25	Villanovense - San Fernando	2:2 ✺
26.01.25	San Fernando - Linense	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Águilas - San Fernando	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	San Fernando - Orihuela	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
06.10.24	San Fernando - Granada B	1:3
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.04.24	Granada B - San Fernando	5:0
15.10.23	San Fernando - Granada B	2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.01.20	San Fernando - Granada B	2:3
01.09.19	Granada B - San Fernando	0:0
13.04.19	San Fernando - Granada B	0:0
25.11.18	Granada B - San Fernando	1:1

Granada B - San Fernando