Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 35

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday


	Algeciras		Atlético Baleares

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.4	5.5
	1.55	3.5	5.25
	1.57	3.75	5.5
	1.58	3.81	5.87
	1.56	3.73	5.87
	1.58	3.5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.7)	3.62 ↑ (3.36)	5.6 ↑ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algeciras
58.3%

Draw
25.3%

Atlético Baleares
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

27.2%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

25.9%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algeciras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Atlético Baleares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Algeciras - Atlético Baleares Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lavin M. (G) 14. Santos S. 23. Rodriguez J. 15. Diori Y. 11. Sanchez T. 4. Fernandez B. 6. Montes E. 10. Esteban Diego 20. Garcia M. 19. Lopez J. 8. Turrillo I. (C)	1. Vila R. (G) 14. Navarro D. 15. Juanra 5. Jaume J. 23. Ferroni L. 10. Pastrana V. 21. Nana 6. Villapalos A. (C) 30. Ortega D. 31. Andrews G. 29. Piera J.
Substitutes
9. Cueto J. 26. Fernandez M. 13. Garcia L. (G) 25. Merchan D. 21. Milosevic S. 28. Navarro I. 2. Roldan R. 22. Sardinero A. 3. Vicente A. 7. Zequi	32. Alarcon M. 18. Azeez M. 12. Gonzalez R. 13. Lario J. (G) 7. Marong N. 16. Rodriguez D. 4. Zalaya A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Andrews G. ↓, Marong N. ↑,
58', Piera J. ↓, Azeez M. ↑,
58', Ortega D. ↓, Zalaya A. ↑,
61', Sanchez T. ↓, Merchan D. ↑,
70', Garcia M. ↓, Cueto J. ↑,
70', Esteban Diego ↓, Zequi ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Turrillo I. ⚽,
79', Ferroni L. ↓, Alarcon M. ↑,
80', Nana ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Atlético Baleares is Relegated to

One and the other team has got a line of lost games.

Atlético Baleares could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Algeciras is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Algeciras won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Algeciras won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.04.24	Atlético Madrid B - Algeciras	3:1 ✺
20.04.24	Algeciras - Antequera	2:3 ✺
13.04.24	Mérida AD - Algeciras	3:1 ✺
07.04.24	Algeciras - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	Ceuta - Algeciras	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.04.24	Atlético Baleares - Intercity	1:2 ✺
21.04.24	Ceuta - Atlético Baleares	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Atlético Baleares - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Recreativo Huelva - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
31.03.24	Atlético Baleares - Real Madrid Castilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.08.23	Atlético Baleares - Algeciras	1:1
10.04.22	Algeciras - Atlético Baleares	1:1
23.01.22	Atlético Baleares - Algeciras	2:1
Club Friendly
05.08.21	Atlético Baleares - Algeciras	0:1

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