Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Estepona		Málaga

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.5	1.62	Watch
	4.95	3.45	1.65
	19.04	5.95	1.17	Watch
	5.04	3.44	1.73	Watch
	7.2	3.95	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.3 ↑ (7.5)	4.06 ↓ (5)	1.53 ↑ (1.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estepona
11.8%

Draw
24.1%

Málaga
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.8%

17.6%

70.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Estepona have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Málaga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Estepona - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Estepona will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Málaga will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Málaga (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Málaga (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Málaga (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ruiz J. (G) 26. Gonzalez A. 5. Lolo Gonzalez 6. Juanan B. 3. Candelas A. (C) 14. Delgado E. 15. Duarte J. 16. Ballarin D. 10. Contreras A. 11. Castedo J. 20. Sancho D.	13. Lopez C. (G) 2. Gabilondo J. 23. Merino I. 4. Galilea E. (C) 18. Sanchez D. 8. Juanpe 11. Munoz J. 35. Ochoa A. 37. Rodriguez R. 24. Lobete J. 17. Jauregi E.
Substitutes
29. Aguayo R. 17. Baradji S. 28. Benites M. 22. Caro J. 23. Exposito S. 31. Lopez R. 21. Marin A. 27. Pomares D. 7. Soria Blazquez R. 19. Tato R. 18. Teijeira A.	7. Abaida H. 5. Brasanac D. 9. Chupe 25. Dorrio J. 12. Dotor C. 14. Garcia V. 1. Herrero A. (G) 10. Larrubia D. 16. Murillo D. 31. Rafita 36. Recio A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Lobete J. (Pen),
43', Juanpe 🟨,
45', Delgado E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Lobete J. ↓, Dorrio J. ↑,
46', Juanpe ↓, Brasanac D. ↑,
46', Munoz J. ↓, Abaida H. ↑,
46', Delgado E. ↓, Baradji S. ↑,
60', Sancho D. ↓, Tato R. ↑,
60', Ale Conteras ↓, Teijeira A. ↑,
65', Gabilondo J. 🟨,
67', Duarte J. ↓, Exposito S. ↑,
67', Castedo J. ↓, Benites M. ↑,
67', Rodriguez R. ↓, Dotor C. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Dorrio J. ⚽, Dotor C. (A),
78', Jauregi E. ↓, Chupe ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Teijeira A. ⚽, Tato R. (A),
82', Teijeira A. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 3, Ochoa A. ⚽,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Málaga is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Estepona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Estepona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.10.25	UCAM Murcia - Estepona	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Estepona - Yeclano Deportivo	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Atlético Malagueño - Estepona	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	Estepona - Real Jaén	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Xerez CD - Estepona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWLW
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.25	Málaga - FC Andorra	4:1 ✺
19.10.25	Leganés - Málaga	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Málaga - Deportivo A Coruña	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Racing Santander - Málaga	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Burgos - Málaga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Estepona - Málaga	3:2 ET
Club Friendly
19.08.23	Estepona - Málaga	0:2

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