Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Américo Montanini (Bucaramanga)

Referee: Camargo S. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
Mexico	VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Atlético Bucaramanga		Envigado

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.2	10	Watch
	1.47	3.75	6.75
	1.39	4.3	9.2	Watch
	1.41	4.43	8.9
	1.4	4.17	8.96	Watch
	1.44	3.7	7.5
	1.38	4.17	9.55	Watch
	1.39	4.3	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.38)	4.13 ↓ (4.2)	8.76 ↑ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Bucaramanga
66.6%

Draw
22.7%

Envigado
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

21.9%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

20.7%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Atlético Bucaramanga have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Atlético Bucaramanga - Envigado Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Envigado will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bucaramanga: 4% – 71%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Quintana A. (G) 19. Gutierrez A. 23. Romana C. 29. Henao C. 8. Hinestroza F. 28. Flores L. 22. Fabry (C) 92. Ibarguen A. 7. Londono K. 70. Castaneda F. 27. Pons L.	12. Escobar R. (G) 27. Uribe N. 2. Palacios D. 29. Ramirez C. (C) 3. Holguin J. 34. Diaz L. 6. Palacio J. 14. Hinestroza J. 7. Dawson D. 11. Garces J. 26. Arcila D.
Substitutes
15. Chavez D. 11. Jhon Vasquez 6. Jimenez M. S. 97. Penaranda A. 12. Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G) 25. Zapata C. 20. Zarate A.	15. Cuervo S. 28. Gamboa Valencia J. J. 21. Lopez E. 38. Marulanda M. 16. Ramirez N. 80. Torres C. 88. Tovar A. (G)
Coaches
Alvarez L.	Orozco A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Pons L. ⚽, Castaneda F. (A),
27', Orozco A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Hinestroza J. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
65', Palacio J. 🟨,
66', Castaneda F. ↓, Jhon Vasquez ↑,
68', Flores L. ↓, Zarate A. ↑,
71', Dawson D. ↓, Torres C. ↑,
80', Garces J. ↓, Marulanda M. ↑,
86', Pons L. ↓, Penaranda A. ↑,
86', Ibarguen A. ↓, Chavez D. ↑,
88', Palacio J. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
90', Hinestroza F. 🟨,
90+1', Londono K. ↓, Jimenez M. S. ↑,
90+4', Gutierrez A. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bucaramanga won 2.

Bucaramanga is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Envigado is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Envigado could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bucaramanga is indisputable favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Bucaramanga won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:21 (average 1.2:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Bucaramanga won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.7:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A
13.04.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Fortaleza CEIF	4:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
10.04.25	Racing - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:2 ✺
Colombian Primera A
05.04.25	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
01.04.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Colo-Colo	3:3 ✺
Colombian Primera A
28.03.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.5 WWLTW
- Envigado FC
Colombian Primera A
12.04.25	Envigado - América de Cali	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Alianza Valledupar - Envigado	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	Rionegro Águilas - Envigado	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Envigado - Atlético Nacional	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Deportivo Pereira - Envigado	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
05.10.24	Envigado - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0
24.03.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Envigado	3:1
14.07.23	Envigado - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:3
24.01.23	Atlético Bucaramanga - Envigado	0:0
19.08.22	Envigado - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:1
Colombian Copa
07.04.22	Atlético Bucaramanga - Envigado	3:0
30.03.22	Envigado - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0

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