Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 18

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Alberto Grisales (Rionegro)

Referee: Melendez Panneflek A. J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz


	Rionegro Águilas		Envigado

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.9	6.25	Watch
	1.58	3.55	6.4	Watch
	1.62	3.86	4.80	Watch
	1.54	3.87	6.2	Watch
	1.63	3.6	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.62)	3.76 ↓ (3.86)	5.83 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rionegro Águilas
59.1%

Draw
24.9%

Envigado
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

23.9%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

23.3%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	8.7%	8.7%

Rionegro Águilas - Envigado Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rionegro Águilas will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rionegro Águilas will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Farinez W. (G) 4. Puerta M. 5. Hernandez D. 29. Lopes H. 32. Mena J. 16. Pineda J. 22. Lozano F. (C) 23. Caballero J. 19. Morelo W. 37. Ramirez M. 99. Obregon J.	1. Montoya J. (G) 15. Cuervo S. 3. Holguin J. 2. Palacios D. 27. Quejada J. 68. Aristizabal J. 6. Palacio J. 8. Espana Alvarez R. C. 18. Hurtado W. 34. Diaz L. 11. Garces J. (C)
Substitutes
24. Avalo Trejos J. E. 12. Banguera G. (G) 90. Benitez Hernandez R. A. 18. Cadavi G. 15. Charales F. 26. Lozano D. 27. Mancilla H. 80. Palacio B. 8. Salazar T.	31. Berrio F. 7. Dawson D. 21. Lopez E. 36. Murillo B. 13. Soto T. 88. Tovar A. (G) 4. Uribe N. 26. Valencia Mosquera D. A. 29. Zapata D.
Coaches
Risueno J.	Orozco A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Holguin J. 🟨,
27', Hernandez D. ↓, Mancilla H. ↑,
41', Cuervo S. 🟨,
43', Salazar T. 🟨,
45', Aristizabal J. 🟨,
45+3', Quejada J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Mena J. 🟨,
47', Puerta M. 🟨,
61', Puerta M. ↓, Avalo Trejos J. E. ↑,
62', Aristizabal J. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
68', Avalo Trejos J. E. 🟨,
70', Espana Alvarez R. C. ↓, Berrio F. ↑,
73', Lozano F. ↓, Benitez Hernandez R. A. ↑,
86', Lopez E. 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90', Montoya J. 🟨,
90', 1 - 0, Obregon J. (Pen),
90+1', Hurtado W. ↓, Soto T. ↑,
90+1', Garces J. ↓, Valencia Mosquera D. A. ↑,
90+2', Palacios D. ↓, Dawson D. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 2.

Rionegro Águilas is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Envigado's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Envigado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rionegro Águilas is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Primera A
24.10.25	Deportivo Pereira - Rionegro Águilas	1:5 ✺
18.10.25	Rionegro Águilas - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pasto	2:2 ✺
08.10.25	Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Medellín	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Unión Magdalena - Rionegro Águilas	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWTWL
- Envigado FC
Colombian Primera A
25.10.25	Envigado - Boyacá Chicó	0:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
21.10.25	Deportivo Pereira - Envigado	1:1 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera A
17.10.25	Unión Magdalena - Envigado	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Deportes Tolima - Envigado	1:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
07.10.25	Envigado - Deportivo Pereira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
07.09.25	Envigado - Rionegro Águilas	1:1
Colombian Copa
15.06.25	Envigado - Rionegro Águilas	2:0
Colombian Primera A
10.05.25	Envigado - Rionegro Águilas	0:2
23.03.25	Rionegro Águilas - Envigado	1:0
24.10.24	Envigado - Rionegro Águilas	3:0
23.02.24	Rionegro Águilas - Envigado	2:0
24.10.23	Rionegro Águilas - Envigado	3:1

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